Towards Precise Prediction Uncertainty in GNNs: Refining GNNs with Topology-grouping Strategy

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Seo, Hyunjin, Seo, Kyusung, Park, Joonhyung, Yang, Eunho
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Seo, Hyunjin
Seo, Kyusung
Park, Joonhyung
Yang, Eunho
author_facet Seo, Hyunjin
Seo, Kyusung
Park, Joonhyung
Yang, Eunho
contents Recent advancements in graph neural networks (GNNs) have highlighted the critical need of calibrating model predictions, with neighborhood prediction similarity recognized as a pivotal component. Existing studies suggest that nodes with analogous neighborhood prediction similarity often exhibit similar calibration characteristics. Building on this insight, recent approaches incorporate neighborhood similarity into node-wise temperature scaling techniques. However, our analysis reveals that this assumption does not hold universally. Calibration errors can differ significantly even among nodes with comparable neighborhood similarity, depending on their confidence levels. This necessitates a re-evaluation of existing GNN calibration methods, as a single, unified approach may lead to sub-optimal calibration. In response, we introduce **Simi-Mailbox**, a novel approach that categorizes nodes by both neighborhood similarity and their own confidence, irrespective of proximity or connectivity. Our method allows fine-grained calibration by employing *group-specific* temperature scaling, with each temperature tailored to address the specific miscalibration level of affiliated nodes, rather than adhering to a uniform trend based on neighborhood similarity. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our **Simi-Mailbox** across diverse datasets on different GNN architectures, achieving up to 13.79\% error reduction compared to uncalibrated GNN predictions.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_14223
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publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Towards Precise Prediction Uncertainty in GNNs: Refining GNNs with Topology-grouping Strategy
Seo, Hyunjin
Seo, Kyusung
Park, Joonhyung
Yang, Eunho
Machine Learning
Recent advancements in graph neural networks (GNNs) have highlighted the critical need of calibrating model predictions, with neighborhood prediction similarity recognized as a pivotal component. Existing studies suggest that nodes with analogous neighborhood prediction similarity often exhibit similar calibration characteristics. Building on this insight, recent approaches incorporate neighborhood similarity into node-wise temperature scaling techniques. However, our analysis reveals that this assumption does not hold universally. Calibration errors can differ significantly even among nodes with comparable neighborhood similarity, depending on their confidence levels. This necessitates a re-evaluation of existing GNN calibration methods, as a single, unified approach may lead to sub-optimal calibration. In response, we introduce **Simi-Mailbox**, a novel approach that categorizes nodes by both neighborhood similarity and their own confidence, irrespective of proximity or connectivity. Our method allows fine-grained calibration by employing *group-specific* temperature scaling, with each temperature tailored to address the specific miscalibration level of affiliated nodes, rather than adhering to a uniform trend based on neighborhood similarity. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our **Simi-Mailbox** across diverse datasets on different GNN architectures, achieving up to 13.79\% error reduction compared to uncalibrated GNN predictions.
title Towards Precise Prediction Uncertainty in GNNs: Refining GNNs with Topology-grouping Strategy
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.14223