Mediation Analysis for Probabilities of Causation

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Kawakami, Yuta, Tian, Jin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Kawakami, Yuta
Tian, Jin
author_facet Kawakami, Yuta
Tian, Jin
contents Probabilities of causation (PoC) offer valuable insights for informed decision-making. This paper introduces novel variants of PoC-controlled direct, natural direct, and natural indirect probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS). These metrics quantify the necessity and sufficiency of a treatment for producing an outcome, accounting for different causal pathways. We develop identification theorems for these new PoC measures, allowing for their estimation from observational data. We demonstrate the practical application of our results through an analysis of a real-world psychology dataset.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_14491
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Mediation Analysis for Probabilities of Causation
Kawakami, Yuta
Tian, Jin
Artificial Intelligence
Probabilities of causation (PoC) offer valuable insights for informed decision-making. This paper introduces novel variants of PoC-controlled direct, natural direct, and natural indirect probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS). These metrics quantify the necessity and sufficiency of a treatment for producing an outcome, accounting for different causal pathways. We develop identification theorems for these new PoC measures, allowing for their estimation from observational data. We demonstrate the practical application of our results through an analysis of a real-world psychology dataset.
title Mediation Analysis for Probabilities of Causation
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.14491