Risk spillovers between the BRICS and the U.S. staple grain futures markets

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Shao, Ying-Hui, Yang, Yan-Hong, Zhou, Wei-Xing
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Shao, Ying-Hui
Yang, Yan-Hong
Zhou, Wei-Xing
author_facet Shao, Ying-Hui
Yang, Yan-Hong
Zhou, Wei-Xing
contents This study examines contemporaneous and lagged spillover effects in BRICS staple grain futures markets and their linkages with U.S. markets. The results show that contemporaneous spillovers dominate, while net spillovers are driven by lagged connectedness. Systemic risk is lower in intra-BRICS markets compared to those including the U.S., highlighting the U.S. grain market's significant influence. Brazilian and U.S. grains are key net spillover contributors, excluding U.S. rice, while South African staple grains act as major net receivers. Particularly, the spillover between soybeans is the strongest. The study also reveals heterogeneous impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Black Sea Grain Initiative on grain futures.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_15738
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Risk spillovers between the BRICS and the U.S. staple grain futures markets
Shao, Ying-Hui
Yang, Yan-Hong
Zhou, Wei-Xing
Risk Management
This study examines contemporaneous and lagged spillover effects in BRICS staple grain futures markets and their linkages with U.S. markets. The results show that contemporaneous spillovers dominate, while net spillovers are driven by lagged connectedness. Systemic risk is lower in intra-BRICS markets compared to those including the U.S., highlighting the U.S. grain market's significant influence. Brazilian and U.S. grains are key net spillover contributors, excluding U.S. rice, while South African staple grains act as major net receivers. Particularly, the spillover between soybeans is the strongest. The study also reveals heterogeneous impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Black Sea Grain Initiative on grain futures.
title Risk spillovers between the BRICS and the U.S. staple grain futures markets
topic Risk Management
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.15738