FairTP: A Prolonged Fairness Framework for Traffic Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Xia, Jiangnan, Yang, Yu, Shen, Jiaxing, Wang, Senzhang, Cao, Jiannong
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Xia, Jiangnan
Yang, Yu
Shen, Jiaxing
Wang, Senzhang
Cao, Jiannong
author_facet Xia, Jiangnan
Yang, Yu
Shen, Jiaxing
Wang, Senzhang
Cao, Jiannong
contents Traffic prediction plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems. Existing approaches primarily focus on improving overall accuracy, often neglecting a critical issue: whether predictive models lead to biased decisions by transportation authorities. In practice, the uneven deployment of traffic sensors across urban areas results in imbalanced data, causing prediction models to perform poorly in certain regions and leading to unfair decision-making. This imbalance ultimately harms the equity and quality of life for residents. Moreover, current fairness-aware machine learning models only ensure fairness at specific time points, failing to maintain fairness over extended periods. As traffic conditions change, such static fairness approaches become ineffective. To address this gap, we propose FairTP, a framework for prolonged fair traffic prediction. We introduce two new fairness definitions tailored for dynamic traffic scenarios. Fairness in traffic prediction is not static; it varies over time and across regions. Each sensor or urban area can alternate between two states: "sacrifice" (low prediction accuracy) and "benefit" (high prediction accuracy). Prolonged fairness is achieved when the overall states of sensors remain similar over a given period. We define two types of fairness: region-based static fairness and sensor-based dynamic fairness. To implement this, FairTP incorporates a state identification module to classify sensors' states as either "sacrifice" or "benefit," enabling prolonged fairness-aware predictions. Additionally, we introduce a state-guided balanced sampling strategy to further enhance fairness, addressing performance disparities among regions with uneven sensor distributions. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that FairTP significantly improves prediction fairness while minimizing accuracy degradation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_16214
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle FairTP: A Prolonged Fairness Framework for Traffic Prediction
Xia, Jiangnan
Yang, Yu
Shen, Jiaxing
Wang, Senzhang
Cao, Jiannong
Machine Learning
Traffic prediction plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems. Existing approaches primarily focus on improving overall accuracy, often neglecting a critical issue: whether predictive models lead to biased decisions by transportation authorities. In practice, the uneven deployment of traffic sensors across urban areas results in imbalanced data, causing prediction models to perform poorly in certain regions and leading to unfair decision-making. This imbalance ultimately harms the equity and quality of life for residents. Moreover, current fairness-aware machine learning models only ensure fairness at specific time points, failing to maintain fairness over extended periods. As traffic conditions change, such static fairness approaches become ineffective. To address this gap, we propose FairTP, a framework for prolonged fair traffic prediction. We introduce two new fairness definitions tailored for dynamic traffic scenarios. Fairness in traffic prediction is not static; it varies over time and across regions. Each sensor or urban area can alternate between two states: "sacrifice" (low prediction accuracy) and "benefit" (high prediction accuracy). Prolonged fairness is achieved when the overall states of sensors remain similar over a given period. We define two types of fairness: region-based static fairness and sensor-based dynamic fairness. To implement this, FairTP incorporates a state identification module to classify sensors' states as either "sacrifice" or "benefit," enabling prolonged fairness-aware predictions. Additionally, we introduce a state-guided balanced sampling strategy to further enhance fairness, addressing performance disparities among regions with uneven sensor distributions. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that FairTP significantly improves prediction fairness while minimizing accuracy degradation.
title FairTP: A Prolonged Fairness Framework for Traffic Prediction
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.16214