To Study Properties of a Known Procedure in Adaptive Sequential Sampling Design

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Kundu, Sampurna, Jha, Jayant, Bhandari, Subir Kumar
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Kundu, Sampurna
Jha, Jayant
Bhandari, Subir Kumar
author_facet Kundu, Sampurna
Jha, Jayant
Bhandari, Subir Kumar
contents We consider the procedure proposed by Bhandari et al. (2009) in the context of two-treatment clinical trials, with the objective of minimizing the applications of the less effective drug to the least number of patients. Our focus is on an adaptive sequential procedure that is both simple and intuitive. Through a refined theoretical analysis, we establish that the number of applications of the less effective drug is a finite random variable whose all moments are also finite. In contrast, Bhandari et al. (2009) observed that this number increases logarithmically with the total sample size. We attribute this discrepancy to differences in their choice of the initial sample size and the method of analysis employed. We further extend the allocation rule to multi-treatment setup and derive analogous finiteness results, reinforcing the generalizability of our findings. Extensive simulation studies and real-data analyses support theoretical developments, showing stabilization in allocation and reduced patient exposure to inferior treatments as the total sample size grows. These results enhance the long-term ethical strength of the proposed adaptive allocation strategy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_17791
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle To Study Properties of a Known Procedure in Adaptive Sequential Sampling Design
Kundu, Sampurna
Jha, Jayant
Bhandari, Subir Kumar
Statistics Theory
Methodology
We consider the procedure proposed by Bhandari et al. (2009) in the context of two-treatment clinical trials, with the objective of minimizing the applications of the less effective drug to the least number of patients. Our focus is on an adaptive sequential procedure that is both simple and intuitive. Through a refined theoretical analysis, we establish that the number of applications of the less effective drug is a finite random variable whose all moments are also finite. In contrast, Bhandari et al. (2009) observed that this number increases logarithmically with the total sample size. We attribute this discrepancy to differences in their choice of the initial sample size and the method of analysis employed. We further extend the allocation rule to multi-treatment setup and derive analogous finiteness results, reinforcing the generalizability of our findings. Extensive simulation studies and real-data analyses support theoretical developments, showing stabilization in allocation and reduced patient exposure to inferior treatments as the total sample size grows. These results enhance the long-term ethical strength of the proposed adaptive allocation strategy.
title To Study Properties of a Known Procedure in Adaptive Sequential Sampling Design
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.17791