Finite size scaling of survival statistics in metapopulation models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Doimo, Alice, Nicoletti, Giorgio, Bernardi, Davide, Padmanabha, Prajwal
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Doimo, Alice
Nicoletti, Giorgio
Bernardi, Davide
Padmanabha, Prajwal
author_facet Doimo, Alice
Nicoletti, Giorgio
Bernardi, Davide
Padmanabha, Prajwal
contents Spatial metapopulation models are fundamental to theoretical ecology, enabling to study how landscape structure influences global species dynamics. Traditional models, including recent generalizations, often rely on the deterministic limit of stochastic processes, assuming large population sizes. However, stochasticity - arising from dispersal events and population fluctuations - profoundly shapes ecological dynamics. In this work, we extend the classical metapopulation framework to account for finite populations, examining the impact of stochasticity on species persistence and dynamics. Specifically, we analyze how the limited capacity of local habitats influences survival, deriving analytical expressions for the finite-size scaling of the survival probability near the critical transition between survival and extinction. Crucially, we demonstrate that the deterministic metapopulation capacity plays a fundamental role in the statistics of survival probability and extinction time moments. These results provide a robust foundation for integrating demographic stochasticity into classical metapopulation models and their extensions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_18448
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Finite size scaling of survival statistics in metapopulation models
Doimo, Alice
Nicoletti, Giorgio
Bernardi, Davide
Padmanabha, Prajwal
Populations and Evolution
Statistical Mechanics
Spatial metapopulation models are fundamental to theoretical ecology, enabling to study how landscape structure influences global species dynamics. Traditional models, including recent generalizations, often rely on the deterministic limit of stochastic processes, assuming large population sizes. However, stochasticity - arising from dispersal events and population fluctuations - profoundly shapes ecological dynamics. In this work, we extend the classical metapopulation framework to account for finite populations, examining the impact of stochasticity on species persistence and dynamics. Specifically, we analyze how the limited capacity of local habitats influences survival, deriving analytical expressions for the finite-size scaling of the survival probability near the critical transition between survival and extinction. Crucially, we demonstrate that the deterministic metapopulation capacity plays a fundamental role in the statistics of survival probability and extinction time moments. These results provide a robust foundation for integrating demographic stochasticity into classical metapopulation models and their extensions.
title Finite size scaling of survival statistics in metapopulation models
topic Populations and Evolution
Statistical Mechanics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.18448