Fully Data-driven but Interpretable Human Behavioural Modelling with Differentiable Discrete Choice Model

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Main Authors: Makinoshima, Fumiyasu, Mitomi, Tatsuya, Makihara, Fumiya, Segawa, Eigo
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Makinoshima, Fumiyasu
Mitomi, Tatsuya
Makihara, Fumiya
Segawa, Eigo
author_facet Makinoshima, Fumiyasu
Mitomi, Tatsuya
Makihara, Fumiya
Segawa, Eigo
contents Discrete choice models are essential for modelling various decision-making processes in human behaviour. However, the specification of these models has depended heavily on domain knowledge from experts, and the fully automated but interpretable modelling of complex human behaviours has been a long-standing challenge. In this paper, we introduce the differentiable discrete choice model (Diff-DCM), a fully data-driven method for the interpretable modelling, learning, prediction, and control of complex human behaviours, which is realised by differentiable programming. Solely from input features and choice outcomes without any prior knowledge, Diff-DCM can estimate interpretable closed-form utility functions that reproduce observed behaviours. Comprehensive experiments with both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that Diff-DCM can be applied to various types of data and requires only a small amount of computational resources for the estimations, which can be completed within tens of seconds on a laptop without any accelerators. In these experiments, we also demonstrate that, using its differentiability, Diff-DCM can provide useful insights into human behaviours, such as an optimal intervention path for effective behavioural changes. This study provides a strong basis for the fully automated and reliable modelling, prediction, and control of human behaviours.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_19403
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fully Data-driven but Interpretable Human Behavioural Modelling with Differentiable Discrete Choice Model
Makinoshima, Fumiyasu
Mitomi, Tatsuya
Makihara, Fumiya
Segawa, Eigo
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Human-Computer Interaction
Multiagent Systems
Discrete choice models are essential for modelling various decision-making processes in human behaviour. However, the specification of these models has depended heavily on domain knowledge from experts, and the fully automated but interpretable modelling of complex human behaviours has been a long-standing challenge. In this paper, we introduce the differentiable discrete choice model (Diff-DCM), a fully data-driven method for the interpretable modelling, learning, prediction, and control of complex human behaviours, which is realised by differentiable programming. Solely from input features and choice outcomes without any prior knowledge, Diff-DCM can estimate interpretable closed-form utility functions that reproduce observed behaviours. Comprehensive experiments with both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that Diff-DCM can be applied to various types of data and requires only a small amount of computational resources for the estimations, which can be completed within tens of seconds on a laptop without any accelerators. In these experiments, we also demonstrate that, using its differentiability, Diff-DCM can provide useful insights into human behaviours, such as an optimal intervention path for effective behavioural changes. This study provides a strong basis for the fully automated and reliable modelling, prediction, and control of human behaviours.
title Fully Data-driven but Interpretable Human Behavioural Modelling with Differentiable Discrete Choice Model
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Human-Computer Interaction
Multiagent Systems
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.19403