Learning Epidemiological Dynamics via the Finite Expression Method

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Du, Jianda, Liang, Senwei, Wang, Chunmei
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Du, Jianda
Liang, Senwei
Wang, Chunmei
author_facet Du, Jianda
Liang, Senwei
Wang, Chunmei
contents Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks, despite their predictive power, often lack interpretability due to their ``black-box" nature. This paper introduces the Finite Expression Method, a symbolic learning framework that leverages reinforcement learning to derive explicit mathematical expressions for epidemiological dynamics. Through numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets, FEX demonstrates high accuracy in modeling and predicting disease spread, while uncovering explicit relationships among epidemiological variables. These results highlight FEX as a powerful tool for infectious disease modeling, combining interpretability with strong predictive performance to support practical applications in public health.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_21049
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Learning Epidemiological Dynamics via the Finite Expression Method
Du, Jianda
Liang, Senwei
Wang, Chunmei
Machine Learning
Numerical Analysis
Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks, despite their predictive power, often lack interpretability due to their ``black-box" nature. This paper introduces the Finite Expression Method, a symbolic learning framework that leverages reinforcement learning to derive explicit mathematical expressions for epidemiological dynamics. Through numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets, FEX demonstrates high accuracy in modeling and predicting disease spread, while uncovering explicit relationships among epidemiological variables. These results highlight FEX as a powerful tool for infectious disease modeling, combining interpretability with strong predictive performance to support practical applications in public health.
title Learning Epidemiological Dynamics via the Finite Expression Method
topic Machine Learning
Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.21049