Balancing Act: The Cost of Wind Restrictions in Norway's Electricity Transition

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Roithner, Maximilian, Herrejon, Paola Velasco, van Greevenbroek, Koen, Grochowicz, Aleksander, Vågerö, Oskar, Hvidsten, Tobias Verheugen, Price, James, Zeyringer, Marianne
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Roithner, Maximilian
Herrejon, Paola Velasco
van Greevenbroek, Koen
Grochowicz, Aleksander
Vågerö, Oskar
Hvidsten, Tobias Verheugen
Price, James
Zeyringer, Marianne
author_facet Roithner, Maximilian
Herrejon, Paola Velasco
van Greevenbroek, Koen
Grochowicz, Aleksander
Vågerö, Oskar
Hvidsten, Tobias Verheugen
Price, James
Zeyringer, Marianne
contents To meet its commitments under the Paris Agreement and reduce its dependency on energy imports, the pace, and scale of renewable energy deployment across Europe must increase dramatically over the next decade. Such a steep change in the net-zero transition will inevitably necessitate trade-offs with other societal priorities. Here we investigate a case study focused on the opposition towards onshore wind and the compromises that may need to be made to deliver its plans for deep electrification. Using an electricity system model, we explore the implications of key social and environmental dimensions shaping the future deployment of onshore wind on the costs and design of electricity systems for Norway in 2030. We find that under restrictions that allow for almost no additional onshore wind, demand can not be met and load has to be shed. Yet, when reducing the restrictions on onshore wind or allowing for in-country transmission expansion, feasible system designs at a small fraction of that cost can be found. To meet the net-zero targets, compromises will need to be made on either wind power deployment, transmission expansion, non-electrification of industry or demand reduction.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_00033
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Balancing Act: The Cost of Wind Restrictions in Norway's Electricity Transition
Roithner, Maximilian
Herrejon, Paola Velasco
van Greevenbroek, Koen
Grochowicz, Aleksander
Vågerö, Oskar
Hvidsten, Tobias Verheugen
Price, James
Zeyringer, Marianne
Physics and Society
To meet its commitments under the Paris Agreement and reduce its dependency on energy imports, the pace, and scale of renewable energy deployment across Europe must increase dramatically over the next decade. Such a steep change in the net-zero transition will inevitably necessitate trade-offs with other societal priorities. Here we investigate a case study focused on the opposition towards onshore wind and the compromises that may need to be made to deliver its plans for deep electrification. Using an electricity system model, we explore the implications of key social and environmental dimensions shaping the future deployment of onshore wind on the costs and design of electricity systems for Norway in 2030. We find that under restrictions that allow for almost no additional onshore wind, demand can not be met and load has to be shed. Yet, when reducing the restrictions on onshore wind or allowing for in-country transmission expansion, feasible system designs at a small fraction of that cost can be found. To meet the net-zero targets, compromises will need to be made on either wind power deployment, transmission expansion, non-electrification of industry or demand reduction.
title Balancing Act: The Cost of Wind Restrictions in Norway's Electricity Transition
topic Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.00033