The clock advance description of the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model

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1. Verfasser: Holschneider, Matthias
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Holschneider, Matthias
author_facet Holschneider, Matthias
contents In this short paper we propose to extend the ETAS model to micro-seismic events. For that we interpret the triggered events in an ETAS model as individual local clock advances of an independent background process. The solution of the ETAS model thus becomes the sum of an infinite Markov chain of independent time adjusted background processses. This allows the incorporation of events at all scales. No artificial small magnitude cutoff is needed.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_01233
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The clock advance description of the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model
Holschneider, Matthias
Geophysics
Mathematical Physics
Probability
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
In this short paper we propose to extend the ETAS model to micro-seismic events. For that we interpret the triggered events in an ETAS model as individual local clock advances of an independent background process. The solution of the ETAS model thus becomes the sum of an infinite Markov chain of independent time adjusted background processses. This allows the incorporation of events at all scales. No artificial small magnitude cutoff is needed.
title The clock advance description of the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model
topic Geophysics
Mathematical Physics
Probability
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.01233