Fast data inversion for high-dimensional dynamical systems from noisy measurements

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Hauptverfasser: Lin, Yizi, Liu, Xubo, Segall, Paul, Gu, Mengyang
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Lin, Yizi
Liu, Xubo
Segall, Paul
Gu, Mengyang
author_facet Lin, Yizi
Liu, Xubo
Segall, Paul
Gu, Mengyang
contents In this work, we develop a scalable approach for a flexible latent factor model for high-dimensional dynamical systems. Each latent factor process has its own correlation and variance parameters, and the orthogonal factor loading matrix can be either fixed or estimated. We utilize an orthogonal factor loading matrix that avoids computing the inversion of the posterior covariance matrix at each time of the Kalman filter, and derive closed-form expressions in an expectation-maximization algorithm for parameter estimation, which substantially reduces the computational complexity without approximation. Our study is motivated by inversely estimating slow slip events from geodetic data, such as continuous GPS measurements. Extensive simulated studies illustrate higher accuracy and scalability of our approach compared to alternatives. By applying our method to geodetic measurements in the Cascadia region, our estimated slip better agrees with independently measured seismic data of tremor events. The substantial acceleration from our method enables the use of massive noisy data for geological hazard quantification and other applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_01324
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fast data inversion for high-dimensional dynamical systems from noisy measurements
Lin, Yizi
Liu, Xubo
Segall, Paul
Gu, Mengyang
Computation
Statistics Theory
Applications
Methodology
Machine Learning
In this work, we develop a scalable approach for a flexible latent factor model for high-dimensional dynamical systems. Each latent factor process has its own correlation and variance parameters, and the orthogonal factor loading matrix can be either fixed or estimated. We utilize an orthogonal factor loading matrix that avoids computing the inversion of the posterior covariance matrix at each time of the Kalman filter, and derive closed-form expressions in an expectation-maximization algorithm for parameter estimation, which substantially reduces the computational complexity without approximation. Our study is motivated by inversely estimating slow slip events from geodetic data, such as continuous GPS measurements. Extensive simulated studies illustrate higher accuracy and scalability of our approach compared to alternatives. By applying our method to geodetic measurements in the Cascadia region, our estimated slip better agrees with independently measured seismic data of tremor events. The substantial acceleration from our method enables the use of massive noisy data for geological hazard quantification and other applications.
title Fast data inversion for high-dimensional dynamical systems from noisy measurements
topic Computation
Statistics Theory
Applications
Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.01324