Vulnerabilities and capabilities in the EU Automotive industry: Leveraging Input-Output Analysis and Economic Complexity

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Cresti, Lorenzo, Mazzilli, Dario, Patelli, Aurelio, Sbardella, Angelica, Tacchella, Andrea
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Cresti, Lorenzo
Mazzilli, Dario
Patelli, Aurelio
Sbardella, Angelica
Tacchella, Andrea
author_facet Cresti, Lorenzo
Mazzilli, Dario
Patelli, Aurelio
Sbardella, Angelica
Tacchella, Andrea
contents This paper investigates the structural vulnerabilities and competitive dynamics of the EU27 automotive sector, with a focus on the complexity and the fragmentation of production processes across global value chains. Employing a mixed-methods approach, our analysis integrates input-output tables to quantify the sector's reliance on non-EU economic branches, alongside an economic complexity framework to assess the underlying productive capabilities of European countries in automotive-related industries. The findings indicate an increasing dependency on extra-EU suppliers, particularly China, for critical components such as lithium-ion batteries, which heightens supply chain risks. Currently, Eastern European countries-most notably Poland, Czechia, and Hungary-have enhanced their competitiveness in the production of automotive components, surpassing traditional leaders such as Germany. The paper advances the literature by providing a novel, granular list of 6-digit products within the automotive supply chain and offers new insights into the challenges posed by the ongoing electric mobility transition in the European Union, particularly in relation to electric accumulators.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_01781
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Vulnerabilities and capabilities in the EU Automotive industry: Leveraging Input-Output Analysis and Economic Complexity
Cresti, Lorenzo
Mazzilli, Dario
Patelli, Aurelio
Sbardella, Angelica
Tacchella, Andrea
General Economics
Economics
This paper investigates the structural vulnerabilities and competitive dynamics of the EU27 automotive sector, with a focus on the complexity and the fragmentation of production processes across global value chains. Employing a mixed-methods approach, our analysis integrates input-output tables to quantify the sector's reliance on non-EU economic branches, alongside an economic complexity framework to assess the underlying productive capabilities of European countries in automotive-related industries. The findings indicate an increasing dependency on extra-EU suppliers, particularly China, for critical components such as lithium-ion batteries, which heightens supply chain risks. Currently, Eastern European countries-most notably Poland, Czechia, and Hungary-have enhanced their competitiveness in the production of automotive components, surpassing traditional leaders such as Germany. The paper advances the literature by providing a novel, granular list of 6-digit products within the automotive supply chain and offers new insights into the challenges posed by the ongoing electric mobility transition in the European Union, particularly in relation to electric accumulators.
title Vulnerabilities and capabilities in the EU Automotive industry: Leveraging Input-Output Analysis and Economic Complexity
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.01781