Estimation of partial rankings from sparse, noisy comparisons

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Morel-Balbi, Sebastian, Kirkley, Alec
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Morel-Balbi, Sebastian
Kirkley, Alec
author_facet Morel-Balbi, Sebastian
Kirkley, Alec
contents Ranking items based on pairwise comparisons is common, from using match outcomes to rank sports teams to using purchase or survey data to rank consumer products. Statistical inference-based methods such as the Bradley-Terry model, which extract rankings based on an underlying generative model, have emerged as flexible and powerful tools to tackle ranking in empirical data. In situations with limited and/or noisy comparisons, it is often challenging to confidently distinguish the performance of different items based on the evidence available in the data. However, most inference-based ranking methods choose to assign each item to a unique rank or score, suggesting a meaningful distinction when there is none. Here, we develop a principled nonparametric Bayesian method, adaptable to any statistical ranking method, for learning partial rankings (rankings with ties) that distinguishes among the ranks of different items only when there is sufficient evidence available in the data. We develop a fast agglomerative algorithm to perform Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) inference of partial rankings under our framework and examine the performance of our method on a variety of real and synthetic network datasets, finding that it frequently gives a more parsimonious summary of the data than traditional ranking, particularly when observations are sparse.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_02505
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Estimation of partial rankings from sparse, noisy comparisons
Morel-Balbi, Sebastian
Kirkley, Alec
Physics and Society
Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
Ranking items based on pairwise comparisons is common, from using match outcomes to rank sports teams to using purchase or survey data to rank consumer products. Statistical inference-based methods such as the Bradley-Terry model, which extract rankings based on an underlying generative model, have emerged as flexible and powerful tools to tackle ranking in empirical data. In situations with limited and/or noisy comparisons, it is often challenging to confidently distinguish the performance of different items based on the evidence available in the data. However, most inference-based ranking methods choose to assign each item to a unique rank or score, suggesting a meaningful distinction when there is none. Here, we develop a principled nonparametric Bayesian method, adaptable to any statistical ranking method, for learning partial rankings (rankings with ties) that distinguishes among the ranks of different items only when there is sufficient evidence available in the data. We develop a fast agglomerative algorithm to perform Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) inference of partial rankings under our framework and examine the performance of our method on a variety of real and synthetic network datasets, finding that it frequently gives a more parsimonious summary of the data than traditional ranking, particularly when observations are sparse.
title Estimation of partial rankings from sparse, noisy comparisons
topic Physics and Society
Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.02505