Graph Based, Adaptive, Multi Arm, Multiple Endpoint, Two Stage Design

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Mehta, Cyrus, Mukhopadhyay, Ajoy, Posch, Martin
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Mehta, Cyrus
Mukhopadhyay, Ajoy
Posch, Martin
author_facet Mehta, Cyrus
Mukhopadhyay, Ajoy
Posch, Martin
contents The graph based approach to multiple testing is an intuitive method that enables a study team to represent clearly, through a directed graph, its priorities for hierarchical testing of multiple hypotheses, and for propagating the available type-1 error from rejected or dropped hypotheses to hypotheses yet to be tested. Although originally developed for single stage non-adaptive designs, we show how it may be extended to two-stage designs that permit early identification of efficacious treatments, adaptive sample size re-estimation, dropping of hypotheses, and changes in the hierarchical testing strategy at the end of stage one. Two approaches are available for preserving the family wise error rate in the presence of these adaptive changes; the p-value combination method, and the conditional error rate method. In this investigation we will present the statistical methodology underlying each approach and will compare the operating characteristics of the two methods in a large simulation experiment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_03197
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Graph Based, Adaptive, Multi Arm, Multiple Endpoint, Two Stage Design
Mehta, Cyrus
Mukhopadhyay, Ajoy
Posch, Martin
Methodology
62L05, 62L10, 62J15
The graph based approach to multiple testing is an intuitive method that enables a study team to represent clearly, through a directed graph, its priorities for hierarchical testing of multiple hypotheses, and for propagating the available type-1 error from rejected or dropped hypotheses to hypotheses yet to be tested. Although originally developed for single stage non-adaptive designs, we show how it may be extended to two-stage designs that permit early identification of efficacious treatments, adaptive sample size re-estimation, dropping of hypotheses, and changes in the hierarchical testing strategy at the end of stage one. Two approaches are available for preserving the family wise error rate in the presence of these adaptive changes; the p-value combination method, and the conditional error rate method. In this investigation we will present the statistical methodology underlying each approach and will compare the operating characteristics of the two methods in a large simulation experiment.
title Graph Based, Adaptive, Multi Arm, Multiple Endpoint, Two Stage Design
topic Methodology
62L05, 62L10, 62J15
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.03197