A Deep Learning-Based Method for Power System Resilience Evaluation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Wang, Xuesong, Wang, Caisheng
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Wang, Xuesong
Wang, Caisheng
author_facet Wang, Xuesong
Wang, Caisheng
contents Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on simplified physical models, limiting their applicability. This paper proposes a deep learning-based framework that integrates historical outage and weather data to predict event-level resilience, measured using the resilience trapezoid method. The trained model is then applied to a benchmark weather dataset to estimate regional resilience, with optional socioeconomic and demographic factors incorporated as weighting terms when policymakers wish to emphasize the needs of specific population groups. The effectiveness of the framework is first validated on simulated outage records, showing strong agreement between predicted and simulated resilience values. It is then applied to real historical outage data to assess the resilience of actual power systems. Beyond evaluation, the results can guide targeted investments in distributed energy resources to improve resilience in vulnerable regions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_04830
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Deep Learning-Based Method for Power System Resilience Evaluation
Wang, Xuesong
Wang, Caisheng
Systems and Control
Power system resilience is vital to modern society, as outages caused by extreme weather can severely disrupt communities. Existing statistical and simulation-based methods for resilience quantification are either retrospective or rely on simplified physical models, limiting their applicability. This paper proposes a deep learning-based framework that integrates historical outage and weather data to predict event-level resilience, measured using the resilience trapezoid method. The trained model is then applied to a benchmark weather dataset to estimate regional resilience, with optional socioeconomic and demographic factors incorporated as weighting terms when policymakers wish to emphasize the needs of specific population groups. The effectiveness of the framework is first validated on simulated outage records, showing strong agreement between predicted and simulated resilience values. It is then applied to real historical outage data to assess the resilience of actual power systems. Beyond evaluation, the results can guide targeted investments in distributed energy resources to improve resilience in vulnerable regions.
title A Deep Learning-Based Method for Power System Resilience Evaluation
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.04830