Providing Machine Learning Potentials with High Quality Uncertainty Estimates

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Sumer, Zeynep, McDonagh, James L., Fare, Clyde, Tadikonda, Ravikanth, Zolyomi, Viktor, Bray, David, Pyzer-Knapp, Edward
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Sumer, Zeynep
McDonagh, James L.
Fare, Clyde
Tadikonda, Ravikanth
Zolyomi, Viktor
Bray, David
Pyzer-Knapp, Edward
author_facet Sumer, Zeynep
McDonagh, James L.
Fare, Clyde
Tadikonda, Ravikanth
Zolyomi, Viktor
Bray, David
Pyzer-Knapp, Edward
contents Computational chemistry has come a long way over the course of several decades, enabling subatomic level calculations particularly with the development of Density Functional Theory (DFT). Recently, machine-learned potentials (MLP) have provided a way to overcome the prevalent time and length scale constraints in such calculations. Unfortunately, these models utilise complex and high dimensional representations, making it challenging for users to intuit performance from chemical structure, which has motivated the development of methods for uncertainty quantification. One of the most common methods is to introduce an ensemble of models and employ an averaging approach to determine the uncertainty. In this work, we introduced Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for uncertainty aware energy evaluation as a more principled and resource efficient method to achieve this goal. The richness of our uncertainty quantification enables a new type of hybrid workflow where calculations can be offloaded to a MLP in a principled manner.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_05250
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Providing Machine Learning Potentials with High Quality Uncertainty Estimates
Sumer, Zeynep
McDonagh, James L.
Fare, Clyde
Tadikonda, Ravikanth
Zolyomi, Viktor
Bray, David
Pyzer-Knapp, Edward
Computational Physics
Chemical Physics
Computational chemistry has come a long way over the course of several decades, enabling subatomic level calculations particularly with the development of Density Functional Theory (DFT). Recently, machine-learned potentials (MLP) have provided a way to overcome the prevalent time and length scale constraints in such calculations. Unfortunately, these models utilise complex and high dimensional representations, making it challenging for users to intuit performance from chemical structure, which has motivated the development of methods for uncertainty quantification. One of the most common methods is to introduce an ensemble of models and employ an averaging approach to determine the uncertainty. In this work, we introduced Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for uncertainty aware energy evaluation as a more principled and resource efficient method to achieve this goal. The richness of our uncertainty quantification enables a new type of hybrid workflow where calculations can be offloaded to a MLP in a principled manner.
title Providing Machine Learning Potentials with High Quality Uncertainty Estimates
topic Computational Physics
Chemical Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.05250