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Main Authors: Salehinejad, Hojjat, Rojas, Ricky, Iheasirim, Kingsley, Yousufuddin, Mohammed, Borah, Bijan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.06432
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author Salehinejad, Hojjat
Rojas, Ricky
Iheasirim, Kingsley
Yousufuddin, Mohammed
Borah, Bijan
author_facet Salehinejad, Hojjat
Rojas, Ricky
Iheasirim, Kingsley
Yousufuddin, Mohammed
Borah, Bijan
contents Fall risk prediction among hospitalized patients is a critical aspect of patient safety in clinical settings, and accurate models can help prevent adverse events. The Hester Davis Score (HDS) is commonly used to assess fall risk, with current clinical practice relying on a threshold-based approach. In this method, a patient is classified as high-risk when their HDS exceeds a predefined threshold. However, this approach may fail to capture dynamic patterns in fall risk over time. In this study, we model the threshold-based approach and propose two machine learning approaches for enhanced fall prediction: One-step ahead fall prediction and sequence-to-point fall prediction. The one-step ahead model uses the HDS at the current timestamp to predict the risk at the next timestamp, while the sequence-to-point model leverages all preceding HDS values to predict fall risk using deep learning. We compare these approaches to assess their accuracy in fall risk prediction, demonstrating that deep learning can outperform the traditional threshold-based method by capturing temporal patterns and improving prediction reliability. These findings highlight the potential for data-driven approaches to enhance patient safety through more reliable fall prevention strategies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_06432
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Deep Learning on Hester Davis Scores for Inpatient Fall Prediction
Salehinejad, Hojjat
Rojas, Ricky
Iheasirim, Kingsley
Yousufuddin, Mohammed
Borah, Bijan
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Fall risk prediction among hospitalized patients is a critical aspect of patient safety in clinical settings, and accurate models can help prevent adverse events. The Hester Davis Score (HDS) is commonly used to assess fall risk, with current clinical practice relying on a threshold-based approach. In this method, a patient is classified as high-risk when their HDS exceeds a predefined threshold. However, this approach may fail to capture dynamic patterns in fall risk over time. In this study, we model the threshold-based approach and propose two machine learning approaches for enhanced fall prediction: One-step ahead fall prediction and sequence-to-point fall prediction. The one-step ahead model uses the HDS at the current timestamp to predict the risk at the next timestamp, while the sequence-to-point model leverages all preceding HDS values to predict fall risk using deep learning. We compare these approaches to assess their accuracy in fall risk prediction, demonstrating that deep learning can outperform the traditional threshold-based method by capturing temporal patterns and improving prediction reliability. These findings highlight the potential for data-driven approaches to enhance patient safety through more reliable fall prevention strategies.
title Deep Learning on Hester Davis Scores for Inpatient Fall Prediction
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.06432