Endogenous Persistence at the Effective Lower Bound

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Cai, Chunbing, Roulleau-Pasdeloup, Jordan, Zheng, Zhongxi
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Cai, Chunbing
Roulleau-Pasdeloup, Jordan
Zheng, Zhongxi
author_facet Cai, Chunbing
Roulleau-Pasdeloup, Jordan
Zheng, Zhongxi
contents We develop a perfect foresight method to solve models with an interest rate lower bound constraint that nests OccBin/DynareOBC and \cite{Eggertsson2010}'s as well as \cite{Mertens2014}'s pen and paper solutions as special cases. Our method generalizes the pen-and-paper solutions by allowing for endogenous persistence while maintaining tractability and interpretability. We prove that our method necessarily gives stable multipliers. We use it to solve a New Keynesian model with habit formation and government spending, which we match to expectations data from the Great Recession. We find an output multiplier of government spending close to 1 for the US and Japan.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_06473
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Endogenous Persistence at the Effective Lower Bound
Cai, Chunbing
Roulleau-Pasdeloup, Jordan
Zheng, Zhongxi
General Economics
Economics
We develop a perfect foresight method to solve models with an interest rate lower bound constraint that nests OccBin/DynareOBC and \cite{Eggertsson2010}'s as well as \cite{Mertens2014}'s pen and paper solutions as special cases. Our method generalizes the pen-and-paper solutions by allowing for endogenous persistence while maintaining tractability and interpretability. We prove that our method necessarily gives stable multipliers. We use it to solve a New Keynesian model with habit formation and government spending, which we match to expectations data from the Great Recession. We find an output multiplier of government spending close to 1 for the US and Japan.
title Endogenous Persistence at the Effective Lower Bound
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.06473