Eco-evolutionary dynamics of a trait-structured predator-prey model

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Duong, Manh Hong, Spill, Fabian, van Rensburg, Blaine
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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_version_ 1866917208444108800
author Duong, Manh Hong
Spill, Fabian
van Rensburg, Blaine
author_facet Duong, Manh Hong
Spill, Fabian
van Rensburg, Blaine
contents The coupling between evolutionary and ecological changes (eco-evolutionary dynamics) has been shown to be relevant among diverse species, and is also of interest outside of ecology, i.e. in cancer evolution. These dynamics play an important role in determining survival in response to climate change, motivating the need for mathematical models to capture this often complex interplay. Models incorporating eco-evolutionary dynamics often sacrifice analytical tractability to capture the complexity of real systems, do not explicitly consider the effect of population heterogeneity, or focus on long-term behaviour. In order to capture population heterogeneity, both transient, and long-term dynamics, while retaining tractability, we generalise a moment-based method applicable in the regime of small segregational variance to the case of time-dependent mortality and birth. These results are applied to a predator-prey model, where ecological parameters such as the contact rate between species are trait-structured. The trait-distribution of the prey species is shown to be approximately Gaussian with constant variance centered on the mean trait, which is asymptotically governed by an autonomous ODE. In this way, we make explicit the impact of eco-evolutionary dynamics on the transient behaviour and long-term fate of the prey species.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_07379
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Eco-evolutionary dynamics of a trait-structured predator-prey model
Duong, Manh Hong
Spill, Fabian
van Rensburg, Blaine
Analysis of PDEs
Populations and Evolution
35B40, 35Q92, 92D40
The coupling between evolutionary and ecological changes (eco-evolutionary dynamics) has been shown to be relevant among diverse species, and is also of interest outside of ecology, i.e. in cancer evolution. These dynamics play an important role in determining survival in response to climate change, motivating the need for mathematical models to capture this often complex interplay. Models incorporating eco-evolutionary dynamics often sacrifice analytical tractability to capture the complexity of real systems, do not explicitly consider the effect of population heterogeneity, or focus on long-term behaviour. In order to capture population heterogeneity, both transient, and long-term dynamics, while retaining tractability, we generalise a moment-based method applicable in the regime of small segregational variance to the case of time-dependent mortality and birth. These results are applied to a predator-prey model, where ecological parameters such as the contact rate between species are trait-structured. The trait-distribution of the prey species is shown to be approximately Gaussian with constant variance centered on the mean trait, which is asymptotically governed by an autonomous ODE. In this way, we make explicit the impact of eco-evolutionary dynamics on the transient behaviour and long-term fate of the prey species.
title Eco-evolutionary dynamics of a trait-structured predator-prey model
topic Analysis of PDEs
Populations and Evolution
35B40, 35Q92, 92D40
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.07379