Improved Compression Bounds for Scenario Decision Making

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Berger, Guillaume O.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Berger, Guillaume O.
author_facet Berger, Guillaume O.
contents Scenario decision making offers a flexible way of making decision in an uncertain environment while obtaining probabilistic guarantees on the risk of failure of the decision. The idea of this approach is to draw samples of the uncertainty and make a decision based on the samples, called "scenarios". The probabilistic guarantees take the form of a bound on the probability of sampling a set of scenarios that will lead to a decision whose risk of failure is above a given maximum tolerance. This bound can be expressed as a function of the number of sampled scenarios, the maximum tolerated risk, and some intrinsic property of the problem called the "compression size". Several such bounds have been proposed in the literature under various assumptions on the problem. We propose new bounds that improve upon the existing ones without requiring stronger assumptions on the problem.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_08884
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Improved Compression Bounds for Scenario Decision Making
Berger, Guillaume O.
Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
Scenario decision making offers a flexible way of making decision in an uncertain environment while obtaining probabilistic guarantees on the risk of failure of the decision. The idea of this approach is to draw samples of the uncertainty and make a decision based on the samples, called "scenarios". The probabilistic guarantees take the form of a bound on the probability of sampling a set of scenarios that will lead to a decision whose risk of failure is above a given maximum tolerance. This bound can be expressed as a function of the number of sampled scenarios, the maximum tolerated risk, and some intrinsic property of the problem called the "compression size". Several such bounds have been proposed in the literature under various assumptions on the problem. We propose new bounds that improve upon the existing ones without requiring stronger assumptions on the problem.
title Improved Compression Bounds for Scenario Decision Making
topic Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.08884