Design-based causal inference in bipartite experiments

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Lu, Sizhu, Shi, Lei, Fang, Yue, Zhang, Wenxin, Ding, Peng
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Lu, Sizhu
Shi, Lei
Fang, Yue
Zhang, Wenxin
Ding, Peng
author_facet Lu, Sizhu
Shi, Lei
Fang, Yue
Zhang, Wenxin
Ding, Peng
contents Bipartite experiments arise in various fields, in which the treatments are randomized over one set of units, while the outcomes are measured over another separate set of units. However, existing methods often rely on strong model assumptions about the data-generating process. Under the potential outcomes formulation, we explore design-based causal inference in bipartite experiments under weak assumptions by leveraging the sparsity structure of the bipartite graph that connects the treatment units and outcome units. We make several contributions. First, we formulate the causal inference problem under the design-based framework that can account for the bipartite interference. Second, we propose a consistent point estimator for the total treatment effect, a policy-relevant parameter that measures the difference in the outcome means if all treatment units receive the treatment or control. Third, we establish a central limit theorem for the estimator and propose a conservative variance estimator for statistical inference. Fourth, we discuss a covariate adjustment strategy to enhance estimation efficiency.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_09844
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Design-based causal inference in bipartite experiments
Lu, Sizhu
Shi, Lei
Fang, Yue
Zhang, Wenxin
Ding, Peng
Methodology
62K15, 62J05, 62G05
Bipartite experiments arise in various fields, in which the treatments are randomized over one set of units, while the outcomes are measured over another separate set of units. However, existing methods often rely on strong model assumptions about the data-generating process. Under the potential outcomes formulation, we explore design-based causal inference in bipartite experiments under weak assumptions by leveraging the sparsity structure of the bipartite graph that connects the treatment units and outcome units. We make several contributions. First, we formulate the causal inference problem under the design-based framework that can account for the bipartite interference. Second, we propose a consistent point estimator for the total treatment effect, a policy-relevant parameter that measures the difference in the outcome means if all treatment units receive the treatment or control. Third, we establish a central limit theorem for the estimator and propose a conservative variance estimator for statistical inference. Fourth, we discuss a covariate adjustment strategy to enhance estimation efficiency.
title Design-based causal inference in bipartite experiments
topic Methodology
62K15, 62J05, 62G05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.09844