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Main Authors: Kipping, David, Solano-Oropeza, Diana, Yahalomi, Daniel A., Li, Madison, Poddar, Avishi, Zhang, Xunhe
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.10571
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author Kipping, David
Solano-Oropeza, Diana
Yahalomi, Daniel A.
Li, Madison
Poddar, Avishi
Zhang, Xunhe
author_facet Kipping, David
Solano-Oropeza, Diana
Yahalomi, Daniel A.
Li, Madison
Poddar, Avishi
Zhang, Xunhe
contents Recent advances have enabled the discovery of a population of potentially Earth-like planets, yet their orbital eccentricity, which governs their climate and provides clues about their origin and dynamical history, is still largely unconstrained. We identify a sample of 17 transiting exoplanets around late-type stars with similar radii and irradiation to that of Earth and use the "photoeccentric effect" - which exploits transit durations - to infer their eccentricity distribution via hierarchical Bayesian modelling. Our analysis establishes that these worlds further resemble Earth in that their eccentricities are nearly circular (mean eccentricity $=0.060_{-0.028}^{+0.040}$ and $\leq0.15$), with the exception of one outlier of moderate eccentricity. The results hint at a subset population of dynamically warmer Earths, but this requires a larger sample to statistically confirm. The planets in our sample are thus largely subject to minimal eccentricity-induced seasonal variability and are consistent with emerging via smooth disk migration rather than violent planet-planet scattering.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_10571
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Near-circular orbits for planets around M/K-type stars with Earth-like sizes and instellations
Kipping, David
Solano-Oropeza, Diana
Yahalomi, Daniel A.
Li, Madison
Poddar, Avishi
Zhang, Xunhe
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Recent advances have enabled the discovery of a population of potentially Earth-like planets, yet their orbital eccentricity, which governs their climate and provides clues about their origin and dynamical history, is still largely unconstrained. We identify a sample of 17 transiting exoplanets around late-type stars with similar radii and irradiation to that of Earth and use the "photoeccentric effect" - which exploits transit durations - to infer their eccentricity distribution via hierarchical Bayesian modelling. Our analysis establishes that these worlds further resemble Earth in that their eccentricities are nearly circular (mean eccentricity $=0.060_{-0.028}^{+0.040}$ and $\leq0.15$), with the exception of one outlier of moderate eccentricity. The results hint at a subset population of dynamically warmer Earths, but this requires a larger sample to statistically confirm. The planets in our sample are thus largely subject to minimal eccentricity-induced seasonal variability and are consistent with emerging via smooth disk migration rather than violent planet-planet scattering.
title Near-circular orbits for planets around M/K-type stars with Earth-like sizes and instellations
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.10571