Continuity of the Distribution Function of the argmax of a Gaussian Process

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Main Authors: Cattaneo, Matias D., Cox, Gregory Fletcher, Jansson, Michael, Nagasawa, Kenichi
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Cattaneo, Matias D.
Cox, Gregory Fletcher
Jansson, Michael
Nagasawa, Kenichi
author_facet Cattaneo, Matias D.
Cox, Gregory Fletcher
Jansson, Michael
Nagasawa, Kenichi
contents Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such asymptotic distributions admit a continuous distribution function. The plausibility of the sufficient conditions is demonstrated by verifying them in three examples, namely maximum score estimation, empirical risk minimization, and threshold regression estimation. In turn, the continuity result buttresses several recently proposed inference procedures whose validity seems to require a result of the kind established herein. A notable feature of the high-level assumptions is that one of them is designed to enable us to employ the Cameron-Martin theorem. In a leading special case, the assumption in question is demonstrably weak and appears to be close to minimal.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_13265
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Continuity of the Distribution Function of the argmax of a Gaussian Process
Cattaneo, Matias D.
Cox, Gregory Fletcher
Jansson, Michael
Nagasawa, Kenichi
Econometrics
Probability
Statistics Theory
Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such asymptotic distributions admit a continuous distribution function. The plausibility of the sufficient conditions is demonstrated by verifying them in three examples, namely maximum score estimation, empirical risk minimization, and threshold regression estimation. In turn, the continuity result buttresses several recently proposed inference procedures whose validity seems to require a result of the kind established herein. A notable feature of the high-level assumptions is that one of them is designed to enable us to employ the Cameron-Martin theorem. In a leading special case, the assumption in question is demonstrably weak and appears to be close to minimal.
title Continuity of the Distribution Function of the argmax of a Gaussian Process
topic Econometrics
Probability
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.13265