Risk Assessment and Vulnerability Identification of Energy-Transportation Infrastructure Systems to Extreme Weather

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Wang, Jiawei, Guo, Qinglai, Zhao, Haotian, Wang, Bin, Sun, Hongbin
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Wang, Jiawei
Guo, Qinglai
Zhao, Haotian
Wang, Bin
Sun, Hongbin
author_facet Wang, Jiawei
Guo, Qinglai
Zhao, Haotian
Wang, Bin
Sun, Hongbin
contents The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence system performance throughout the extreme weather process. A comprehensive assessment of these factors faces challenges in model complexity, heterogeneous differences between energy and transportation systems, and cross-sector privacy. This paper proposes a risk assessment framework that integrates the heterogeneous energy and transportation systems in the form of a unified network flow model, which enables full accommodation of multiple types of energy-transportation emergency decisions while capturing the compound spatiotemporal impacts of extreme weather on both systems simultaneously. Based on this framework, a targeted method for identifying system vulnerabilities is further developed. This method employs neural network surrogates to achieve privacy protection and accelerated identification while maintaining consideration of system interdependencies. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed framework and method can reveal the risk levels faced by urban infrastructure systems, identify vulnerabilities that should be prioritized for reinforcement, and strike a balance between accuracy and speed.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_13473
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Risk Assessment and Vulnerability Identification of Energy-Transportation Infrastructure Systems to Extreme Weather
Wang, Jiawei
Guo, Qinglai
Zhao, Haotian
Wang, Bin
Sun, Hongbin
Systems and Control
The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence system performance throughout the extreme weather process. A comprehensive assessment of these factors faces challenges in model complexity, heterogeneous differences between energy and transportation systems, and cross-sector privacy. This paper proposes a risk assessment framework that integrates the heterogeneous energy and transportation systems in the form of a unified network flow model, which enables full accommodation of multiple types of energy-transportation emergency decisions while capturing the compound spatiotemporal impacts of extreme weather on both systems simultaneously. Based on this framework, a targeted method for identifying system vulnerabilities is further developed. This method employs neural network surrogates to achieve privacy protection and accelerated identification while maintaining consideration of system interdependencies. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed framework and method can reveal the risk levels faced by urban infrastructure systems, identify vulnerabilities that should be prioritized for reinforcement, and strike a balance between accuracy and speed.
title Risk Assessment and Vulnerability Identification of Energy-Transportation Infrastructure Systems to Extreme Weather
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.13473