Information-theoretic limits and approximate message-passing for high-dimensional time series

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Tieplova, Daria, Lahiry, Samriddha, Barbier, Jean
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Tieplova, Daria
Lahiry, Samriddha
Barbier, Jean
author_facet Tieplova, Daria
Lahiry, Samriddha
Barbier, Jean
contents High-dimensional time series appear in many scientific setups, demanding a nuanced approach to model and analyze the underlying dependence structure. Theoretical advancements so far often rely on stringent assumptions regarding the sparsity of the underlying signal. In non-sparse regimes, analyses have primarily focused on linear regression models with the design matrix having independent rows. In this paper, we expand the scope by investigating a high-dimensional time series model wherein the number of features grows proportionally to the number of sampling points, without assuming sparsity in the signal. Specifically, we consider the stochastic regression model and derive a single-letter formula for the normalized mutual information between observations and the signal, as well as for minimum mean-square errors. We also empirically study the vector approximate message passing VAMP algorithm and show that, despite the lack of theoretical guarantees, its performance for inference in our time series model is robust and often statistically optimal.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_13625
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Information-theoretic limits and approximate message-passing for high-dimensional time series
Tieplova, Daria
Lahiry, Samriddha
Barbier, Jean
Information Theory
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Statistics Theory
82Bxx, 62Mxx
High-dimensional time series appear in many scientific setups, demanding a nuanced approach to model and analyze the underlying dependence structure. Theoretical advancements so far often rely on stringent assumptions regarding the sparsity of the underlying signal. In non-sparse regimes, analyses have primarily focused on linear regression models with the design matrix having independent rows. In this paper, we expand the scope by investigating a high-dimensional time series model wherein the number of features grows proportionally to the number of sampling points, without assuming sparsity in the signal. Specifically, we consider the stochastic regression model and derive a single-letter formula for the normalized mutual information between observations and the signal, as well as for minimum mean-square errors. We also empirically study the vector approximate message passing VAMP algorithm and show that, despite the lack of theoretical guarantees, its performance for inference in our time series model is robust and often statistically optimal.
title Information-theoretic limits and approximate message-passing for high-dimensional time series
topic Information Theory
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Statistics Theory
82Bxx, 62Mxx
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.13625