Calibrating Wireless AI via Meta-Learned Context-Dependent Conformal Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Yoo, Seonghoon, Park, Sangwoo, Popovski, Petar, Kang, Joonhyuk, Simeone, Osvaldo
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Yoo, Seonghoon
Park, Sangwoo
Popovski, Petar
Kang, Joonhyuk
Simeone, Osvaldo
author_facet Yoo, Seonghoon
Park, Sangwoo
Popovski, Petar
Kang, Joonhyuk
Simeone, Osvaldo
contents Modern software-defined networks, such as Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN) systems, rely on artificial intelligence (AI)-powered applications running on controllers interfaced with the radio access network. To ensure that these AI applications operate reliably at runtime, they must be properly calibrated before deployment. A promising and theoretically grounded approach to calibration is conformal prediction (CP), which enhances any AI model by transforming it into a provably reliable set predictor that provides error bars for estimates and decisions. CP requires calibration data that matches the distribution of the environment encountered during runtime. However, in practical scenarios, network controllers often have access only to data collected under different contexts -- such as varying traffic patterns and network conditions -- leading to a mismatch between the calibration and runtime distributions. This paper introduces a novel methodology to address this calibration-test distribution shift. The approach leverages meta-learning to develop a zero-shot estimator of distribution shifts, relying solely on contextual information. The proposed method, called meta-learned context-dependent weighted conformal prediction (ML-WCP), enables effective calibration of AI applications without requiring data from the current context. Additionally, it can incorporate data from multiple contexts to further enhance calibration reliability.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_14566
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Calibrating Wireless AI via Meta-Learned Context-Dependent Conformal Prediction
Yoo, Seonghoon
Park, Sangwoo
Popovski, Petar
Kang, Joonhyuk
Simeone, Osvaldo
Signal Processing
Modern software-defined networks, such as Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN) systems, rely on artificial intelligence (AI)-powered applications running on controllers interfaced with the radio access network. To ensure that these AI applications operate reliably at runtime, they must be properly calibrated before deployment. A promising and theoretically grounded approach to calibration is conformal prediction (CP), which enhances any AI model by transforming it into a provably reliable set predictor that provides error bars for estimates and decisions. CP requires calibration data that matches the distribution of the environment encountered during runtime. However, in practical scenarios, network controllers often have access only to data collected under different contexts -- such as varying traffic patterns and network conditions -- leading to a mismatch between the calibration and runtime distributions. This paper introduces a novel methodology to address this calibration-test distribution shift. The approach leverages meta-learning to develop a zero-shot estimator of distribution shifts, relying solely on contextual information. The proposed method, called meta-learned context-dependent weighted conformal prediction (ML-WCP), enables effective calibration of AI applications without requiring data from the current context. Additionally, it can incorporate data from multiple contexts to further enhance calibration reliability.
title Calibrating Wireless AI via Meta-Learned Context-Dependent Conformal Prediction
topic Signal Processing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.14566