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Autori principali: Bagiliko, John, Stern, David, Ndanguza, Denis, Torgbor, Francis Feehi
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.14829
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author Bagiliko, John
Stern, David
Ndanguza, Denis
Torgbor, Francis Feehi
author_facet Bagiliko, John
Stern, David
Ndanguza, Denis
Torgbor, Francis Feehi
contents Accurate rainfall data are crucial for effective climate services, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, where agriculture depends heavily on rain-fed systems. The sparse distribution of rain-gauge networks necessitates reliance on satellite and reanalysis rainfall products (REs). This study evaluated eight REs -- CHIRPS, TAMSAT, CHIRP, ENACTS, ERA5, AgERA5, PERSIANN-CDR, and PERSIANN-CCS-CDR -- in Zambia and Ghana using a point-to-pixel validation approach. The analysis covered spatial consistency, annual rainfall summaries, seasonal patterns, and rainfall intensity detection across 38 ground stations. Results showed no single product performed optimally across all contexts, highlighting the need for application-specific recommendations. All products exhibited a high probability of detection (POD) for dry days in Zambia and northern Ghana (70% < POD < 100%, and 60% < POD < 85%, respectively), suggesting their utility for drought-related studies. However, all products showed limited skill in detecting heavy and violent rains (POD close to 0%), making them unsuitable for analyzing such events (e.g., floods) in their current form. Products integrated with station data (ENACTS, CHIRPS, and TAMSAT) outperformed others in many contexts, emphasizing the importance of local observation calibration. Bias correction is strongly recommended due to varying bias levels across rainfall summaries. A critical area for improvement is the detection of heavy and violent rains, with which REs currently struggle. Future research should focus on this aspect.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_14829
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Validation of satellite and reanalysis rainfall products against rain gauge observations in Ghana and Zambia
Bagiliko, John
Stern, David
Ndanguza, Denis
Torgbor, Francis Feehi
Applications
J.2; I.2
Accurate rainfall data are crucial for effective climate services, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, where agriculture depends heavily on rain-fed systems. The sparse distribution of rain-gauge networks necessitates reliance on satellite and reanalysis rainfall products (REs). This study evaluated eight REs -- CHIRPS, TAMSAT, CHIRP, ENACTS, ERA5, AgERA5, PERSIANN-CDR, and PERSIANN-CCS-CDR -- in Zambia and Ghana using a point-to-pixel validation approach. The analysis covered spatial consistency, annual rainfall summaries, seasonal patterns, and rainfall intensity detection across 38 ground stations. Results showed no single product performed optimally across all contexts, highlighting the need for application-specific recommendations. All products exhibited a high probability of detection (POD) for dry days in Zambia and northern Ghana (70% < POD < 100%, and 60% < POD < 85%, respectively), suggesting their utility for drought-related studies. However, all products showed limited skill in detecting heavy and violent rains (POD close to 0%), making them unsuitable for analyzing such events (e.g., floods) in their current form. Products integrated with station data (ENACTS, CHIRPS, and TAMSAT) outperformed others in many contexts, emphasizing the importance of local observation calibration. Bias correction is strongly recommended due to varying bias levels across rainfall summaries. A critical area for improvement is the detection of heavy and violent rains, with which REs currently struggle. Future research should focus on this aspect.
title Validation of satellite and reanalysis rainfall products against rain gauge observations in Ghana and Zambia
topic Applications
J.2; I.2
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.14829