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Autores principales: Januar, Jonathan, Gallagher, H Colin, Koskinen, Johan
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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Acceso en línea:https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.15825
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author Januar, Jonathan
Gallagher, H Colin
Koskinen, Johan
author_facet Januar, Jonathan
Gallagher, H Colin
Koskinen, Johan
contents The clandestine nature of covert networks makes reliable data difficult to obtain and leads to concerns with missing data. We explore the use of network models to represent missingness mechanisms. Exponential random graph models provide a flexible way of parameterising departures from conventional missingness assumptions and data management practices. We demonstrate the effects of model specification, true network structure, and different not-at-random missingness mechanisms across six empirical covert networks. Our framework for modelling realistic missingness mechanisms investigates potential inferential pitfalls, evaluates decisions in collecting data, and offers the opportunity to incorporate non-random missingness into the estimation of network generating mechanisms.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_15825
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle In the Shadow of Silence: Modelling Missing Data in the Dark Networks of Crime and Terrorists
Januar, Jonathan
Gallagher, H Colin
Koskinen, Johan
Methodology
The clandestine nature of covert networks makes reliable data difficult to obtain and leads to concerns with missing data. We explore the use of network models to represent missingness mechanisms. Exponential random graph models provide a flexible way of parameterising departures from conventional missingness assumptions and data management practices. We demonstrate the effects of model specification, true network structure, and different not-at-random missingness mechanisms across six empirical covert networks. Our framework for modelling realistic missingness mechanisms investigates potential inferential pitfalls, evaluates decisions in collecting data, and offers the opportunity to incorporate non-random missingness into the estimation of network generating mechanisms.
title In the Shadow of Silence: Modelling Missing Data in the Dark Networks of Crime and Terrorists
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.15825