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Autori principali: Yao, Yue, Goehring, Daniel, Reichardt, Joerg
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.15842
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author Yao, Yue
Goehring, Daniel
Reichardt, Joerg
author_facet Yao, Yue
Goehring, Daniel
Reichardt, Joerg
contents We study the Out-of-Distribution (OoD) generalization ability of three SotA trajectory prediction models with comparable In-Distribution (ID) performance but different model designs. We investigate the influence of inductive bias, size of training data and data augmentation strategy by training the models on Argoverse 2 (A2) and testing on Waymo Open Motion (WO) and vice versa. We find that the smallest model with highest inductive bias exhibits the best OoD generalization across different augmentation strategies when trained on the smaller A2 dataset and tested on the large WO dataset. In the converse setting, training all models on the larger WO dataset and testing on the smaller A2 dataset, we find that all models generalize poorly, even though the model with the highest inductive bias still exhibits the best generalization ability. We discuss possible reasons for this surprising finding and draw conclusions about the design and test of trajectory prediction models and benchmarks.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_15842
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Beyond In-Distribution Performance: A Cross-Dataset Study of Trajectory Prediction Robustness
Yao, Yue
Goehring, Daniel
Reichardt, Joerg
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
We study the Out-of-Distribution (OoD) generalization ability of three SotA trajectory prediction models with comparable In-Distribution (ID) performance but different model designs. We investigate the influence of inductive bias, size of training data and data augmentation strategy by training the models on Argoverse 2 (A2) and testing on Waymo Open Motion (WO) and vice versa. We find that the smallest model with highest inductive bias exhibits the best OoD generalization across different augmentation strategies when trained on the smaller A2 dataset and tested on the large WO dataset. In the converse setting, training all models on the larger WO dataset and testing on the smaller A2 dataset, we find that all models generalize poorly, even though the model with the highest inductive bias still exhibits the best generalization ability. We discuss possible reasons for this surprising finding and draw conclusions about the design and test of trajectory prediction models and benchmarks.
title Beyond In-Distribution Performance: A Cross-Dataset Study of Trajectory Prediction Robustness
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.15842