Lambda-Fleming-Viot processes arising in logistic Bienaymé-Galton-Watson processes with a large carrying capacity

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Main Author: Forien, Raphaël
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Forien, Raphaël
author_facet Forien, Raphaël
contents We consider a continuous-time Bienaymé-Galton-Watson process with logistic competition in a regime of weak competition, or equivalently of a large carrying capacity. Individuals reproduce at random times independently of each other but die at a rate which increases with the population size. When individuals reproduce, they produce a random number of offspring, drawn according to some probability distribution on the natural integers. We keep track of the number of descendants of the initial individuals by adding neutral markers to the individuals, which are inherited by one's offspring. We then consider several scaling limits of the measure-valued process describing the distribution of neutral markers in the population, as well as the population size, when the competition parameter tends to zero. Three regimes emerge, depending on the tail of the offspring distribution. When the offspring distribution admits a second moment (actually a $ 2+δ$ moment for some positive $ δ$), the fluctuations of the population size around its carrying capacity are small and the neutral types asymptotically follow a Fleming-Viot process. When the offspring distribution has a power-law decay with exponent $ α\in (1,2) $, the population size remains most of the time close to its carrying capacity with some (short-lived) fluctuations, and the neutral types evolve in the limit according to a generalised $ Λ$-Fleming-Viot process. When the exponent $ α$ is equal to 1, the time scale of the fluctuations changes drastically, as well as the order of magnitude of the population size. In that case the limiting dynamics of the neutral markers is given by the dual of the Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_16837
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Lambda-Fleming-Viot processes arising in logistic Bienaymé-Galton-Watson processes with a large carrying capacity
Forien, Raphaël
Probability
60J80, 60J90, 60J68, 60F99
We consider a continuous-time Bienaymé-Galton-Watson process with logistic competition in a regime of weak competition, or equivalently of a large carrying capacity. Individuals reproduce at random times independently of each other but die at a rate which increases with the population size. When individuals reproduce, they produce a random number of offspring, drawn according to some probability distribution on the natural integers. We keep track of the number of descendants of the initial individuals by adding neutral markers to the individuals, which are inherited by one's offspring. We then consider several scaling limits of the measure-valued process describing the distribution of neutral markers in the population, as well as the population size, when the competition parameter tends to zero. Three regimes emerge, depending on the tail of the offspring distribution. When the offspring distribution admits a second moment (actually a $ 2+δ$ moment for some positive $ δ$), the fluctuations of the population size around its carrying capacity are small and the neutral types asymptotically follow a Fleming-Viot process. When the offspring distribution has a power-law decay with exponent $ α\in (1,2) $, the population size remains most of the time close to its carrying capacity with some (short-lived) fluctuations, and the neutral types evolve in the limit according to a generalised $ Λ$-Fleming-Viot process. When the exponent $ α$ is equal to 1, the time scale of the fluctuations changes drastically, as well as the order of magnitude of the population size. In that case the limiting dynamics of the neutral markers is given by the dual of the Bolthausen-Sznitman coalescent.
title Lambda-Fleming-Viot processes arising in logistic Bienaymé-Galton-Watson processes with a large carrying capacity
topic Probability
60J80, 60J90, 60J68, 60F99
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.16837