Bias-Corrected and Variance-Corrected MLE for the New Median Based Unit Weibull Distribution (MBUW)

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Attia, Iman Mohammed
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Attia, Iman Mohammed
author_facet Attia, Iman Mohammed
contents As the maximum likelihood method is the most commonly used method for parameters estimation being unbiased, consistent, efficient, and asymptotically normal, MLE is used to fit the new distribution (MBUW). But in small to moderate sample size, this MLE estimator is biased unlike the MLE estimators obtained from large sample sizes. In this paper, the Bias-corrected approach for this distribution is discussed and applied to real data analysis. The MLE estimators of MBUW obtained from some optimization techniques like derivative free Nelder Mead algorithm suffers from significant high correlation that is reflected on high covariance between the parameters. Also this association between the parameters affects the variances which may be inflated enough to approach infinity hampering construction of confidence intervals for each parameter. This problem may arise with any optimization technique which necessitates remedies trying to fix it. The author also elaborates a variance correction approach heavily relaying on re-parameterizing the negative log likelihood.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_16853
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bias-Corrected and Variance-Corrected MLE for the New Median Based Unit Weibull Distribution (MBUW)
Attia, Iman Mohammed
Methodology
Probability
As the maximum likelihood method is the most commonly used method for parameters estimation being unbiased, consistent, efficient, and asymptotically normal, MLE is used to fit the new distribution (MBUW). But in small to moderate sample size, this MLE estimator is biased unlike the MLE estimators obtained from large sample sizes. In this paper, the Bias-corrected approach for this distribution is discussed and applied to real data analysis. The MLE estimators of MBUW obtained from some optimization techniques like derivative free Nelder Mead algorithm suffers from significant high correlation that is reflected on high covariance between the parameters. Also this association between the parameters affects the variances which may be inflated enough to approach infinity hampering construction of confidence intervals for each parameter. This problem may arise with any optimization technique which necessitates remedies trying to fix it. The author also elaborates a variance correction approach heavily relaying on re-parameterizing the negative log likelihood.
title Bias-Corrected and Variance-Corrected MLE for the New Median Based Unit Weibull Distribution (MBUW)
topic Methodology
Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.16853