Reconstructing parametric gravitational-wave population fits from non-parametric results without refitting the data

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Hauptverfasser: Fabbri, Cecilia Maria, Gerosa, Davide, Santini, Alessandro, Mould, Matthew, Toubiana, Alexandre, Gair, Jonathan
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Fabbri, Cecilia Maria
Gerosa, Davide
Santini, Alessandro
Mould, Matthew
Toubiana, Alexandre
Gair, Jonathan
author_facet Fabbri, Cecilia Maria
Gerosa, Davide
Santini, Alessandro
Mould, Matthew
Toubiana, Alexandre
Gair, Jonathan
contents Combining multiple events into population analyses is a cornerstone of gravitational-wave astronomy. A critical component of such studies is the assumed population model, which can range from astrophysically motivated functional forms to non-parametric treatments that are flexible but difficult to interpret. In practice, the current approach is to fit the data multiple times with different population models to identify robust features. We propose an alternative strategy: assuming the data have already been fit with a flexible model, we present a practical recipe to reconstruct the population distribution of a different model. As our procedure postprocesses existing results, it avoids the need to access the underlying gravitational-wave data again and handle selection effects. Additionally, our reconstruction metric provides a goodness-of-fit measure to compare multiple models. We apply this method to the mass distribution of black-hole binaries detected by LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA. Our work paves the way for streamlined gravitational-wave population analyses by fitting the data once and for all with advanced non-parametric methods and careful handling of selection effects, while the astrophysical interpretation is then made accessible using our reconstruction procedure on targeted models. The key principle is that of conceptually separating data description from data interpretation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_17233
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Reconstructing parametric gravitational-wave population fits from non-parametric results without refitting the data
Fabbri, Cecilia Maria
Gerosa, Davide
Santini, Alessandro
Mould, Matthew
Toubiana, Alexandre
Gair, Jonathan
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Combining multiple events into population analyses is a cornerstone of gravitational-wave astronomy. A critical component of such studies is the assumed population model, which can range from astrophysically motivated functional forms to non-parametric treatments that are flexible but difficult to interpret. In practice, the current approach is to fit the data multiple times with different population models to identify robust features. We propose an alternative strategy: assuming the data have already been fit with a flexible model, we present a practical recipe to reconstruct the population distribution of a different model. As our procedure postprocesses existing results, it avoids the need to access the underlying gravitational-wave data again and handle selection effects. Additionally, our reconstruction metric provides a goodness-of-fit measure to compare multiple models. We apply this method to the mass distribution of black-hole binaries detected by LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA. Our work paves the way for streamlined gravitational-wave population analyses by fitting the data once and for all with advanced non-parametric methods and careful handling of selection effects, while the astrophysical interpretation is then made accessible using our reconstruction procedure on targeted models. The key principle is that of conceptually separating data description from data interpretation.
title Reconstructing parametric gravitational-wave population fits from non-parametric results without refitting the data
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.17233