Large Language Models for Single-Step and Multi-Step Flight Trajectory Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Luo, Kaiwei, Zhou, Jiliu
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Luo, Kaiwei
Zhou, Jiliu
author_facet Luo, Kaiwei
Zhou, Jiliu
contents Flight trajectory prediction is a critical time series task in aviation. While deep learning methods have shown significant promise, the application of large language models (LLMs) to this domain remains underexplored. This study pioneers the use of LLMs for flight trajectory prediction by reframing it as a language modeling problem. Specifically, We extract features representing the aircraft's position and status from ADS-B flight data to construct a prompt-based dataset, where trajectory waypoints are converted into language tokens. The dataset is then employed to fine-tune LLMs, enabling them to learn complex spatiotemporal patterns for accurate predictions. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that LLMs achieve notable performance improvements in both single-step and multi-step predictions compared to traditional methods, with LLaMA-3.1 model achieving the highest overall accuracy. However, the high inference latency of LLMs poses a challenge for real-time applications, underscoring the need for further research in this promising direction.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_17459
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Large Language Models for Single-Step and Multi-Step Flight Trajectory Prediction
Luo, Kaiwei
Zhou, Jiliu
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Flight trajectory prediction is a critical time series task in aviation. While deep learning methods have shown significant promise, the application of large language models (LLMs) to this domain remains underexplored. This study pioneers the use of LLMs for flight trajectory prediction by reframing it as a language modeling problem. Specifically, We extract features representing the aircraft's position and status from ADS-B flight data to construct a prompt-based dataset, where trajectory waypoints are converted into language tokens. The dataset is then employed to fine-tune LLMs, enabling them to learn complex spatiotemporal patterns for accurate predictions. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that LLMs achieve notable performance improvements in both single-step and multi-step predictions compared to traditional methods, with LLaMA-3.1 model achieving the highest overall accuracy. However, the high inference latency of LLMs poses a challenge for real-time applications, underscoring the need for further research in this promising direction.
title Large Language Models for Single-Step and Multi-Step Flight Trajectory Prediction
topic Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.17459