Towards Transparent and Accurate Diabetes Prediction Using Machine Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Khokhar, Pir Bakhsh, Pentangelo, Viviana, Palomba, Fabio, Gravino, Carmine
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Khokhar, Pir Bakhsh
Pentangelo, Viviana
Palomba, Fabio
Gravino, Carmine
author_facet Khokhar, Pir Bakhsh
Pentangelo, Viviana
Palomba, Fabio
Gravino, Carmine
contents Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a global health issue of significance that must be diagnosed as early as possible and managed well. This study presents a framework for diabetes prediction using Machine Learning (ML) models, complemented with eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools, to investigate both the predictive accuracy and interpretability of the predictions from ML models. Data Preprocessing is based on the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and feature scaling used on the Diabetes Binary Health Indicators dataset to deal with class imbalance and variability of clinical features. The ensemble model provided high accuracy, with a test accuracy of 92.50% and an ROC-AUC of 0.975. BMI, Age, General Health, Income, and Physical Activity were the most influential predictors obtained from the model explanations. The results of this study suggest that ML combined with XAI is a promising means of developing accurate and computationally transparent tools for use in healthcare systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_18071
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Towards Transparent and Accurate Diabetes Prediction Using Machine Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
Khokhar, Pir Bakhsh
Pentangelo, Viviana
Palomba, Fabio
Gravino, Carmine
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Software Engineering
Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a global health issue of significance that must be diagnosed as early as possible and managed well. This study presents a framework for diabetes prediction using Machine Learning (ML) models, complemented with eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools, to investigate both the predictive accuracy and interpretability of the predictions from ML models. Data Preprocessing is based on the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) and feature scaling used on the Diabetes Binary Health Indicators dataset to deal with class imbalance and variability of clinical features. The ensemble model provided high accuracy, with a test accuracy of 92.50% and an ROC-AUC of 0.975. BMI, Age, General Health, Income, and Physical Activity were the most influential predictors obtained from the model explanations. The results of this study suggest that ML combined with XAI is a promising means of developing accurate and computationally transparent tools for use in healthcare systems.
title Towards Transparent and Accurate Diabetes Prediction Using Machine Learning and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Software Engineering
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.18071