A tutorial on conducting sample size and power calculations for detecting treatment effect heterogeneity in cluster randomized trials with linear mixed models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Baumann, Mary Ryan, Taljaard, Monica, Heagerty, Patrick J., Harhay, Michael O., Tong, Guangyu, Wang, Rui, Li, Fan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Baumann, Mary Ryan
Taljaard, Monica
Heagerty, Patrick J.
Harhay, Michael O.
Tong, Guangyu
Wang, Rui
Li, Fan
author_facet Baumann, Mary Ryan
Taljaard, Monica
Heagerty, Patrick J.
Harhay, Michael O.
Tong, Guangyu
Wang, Rui
Li, Fan
contents Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) are a well-established class of designs for evaluating community-based interventions. An essential task in planning these trials is determining the number of clusters and cluster sizes needed to achieve sufficient statistical power for detecting a clinically relevant effect size. While methods for evaluating the average treatment effect (ATE) for the entire study population are well-established, sample size methods for testing heterogeneity of treatment effects (HTEs), i.e., treatment-covariate interaction or difference in subpopulation-specific treatment effects, in CRTs have only recently been developed. For pre-specified analyses of HTEs in CRTs, effect-modifying covariates should, ideally, be accompanied by sample size or power calculations to ensure the trial has adequate power for the planned analyses. Power analysis for testing HTEs is more complex than for ATEs due to the additional design parameters that must be specified. Power and sample size formulas for testing HTEs via linear mixed effects (LME) models have been separately derived for different cluster-randomized designs, including single and multi-period parallel designs, crossover designs, and stepped-wedge designs, and for continuous and binary outcomes. This tutorial provides a consolidated reference guide for these methods and enhances their accessibility through an online R Shiny calculator. We further discuss key considerations for conducting sample size and power calculations to test pre-specified HTE hypotheses in CRTs, highlighting the importance of specifying advanced estimates of intracluster correlation coefficients for both outcomes and covariates, and their implications for power. The sample size methodology and calculator functionality are demonstrated through a real CRT example.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2501_18383
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A tutorial on conducting sample size and power calculations for detecting treatment effect heterogeneity in cluster randomized trials with linear mixed models
Baumann, Mary Ryan
Taljaard, Monica
Heagerty, Patrick J.
Harhay, Michael O.
Tong, Guangyu
Wang, Rui
Li, Fan
Methodology
Applications
Cluster-randomized trials (CRTs) are a well-established class of designs for evaluating community-based interventions. An essential task in planning these trials is determining the number of clusters and cluster sizes needed to achieve sufficient statistical power for detecting a clinically relevant effect size. While methods for evaluating the average treatment effect (ATE) for the entire study population are well-established, sample size methods for testing heterogeneity of treatment effects (HTEs), i.e., treatment-covariate interaction or difference in subpopulation-specific treatment effects, in CRTs have only recently been developed. For pre-specified analyses of HTEs in CRTs, effect-modifying covariates should, ideally, be accompanied by sample size or power calculations to ensure the trial has adequate power for the planned analyses. Power analysis for testing HTEs is more complex than for ATEs due to the additional design parameters that must be specified. Power and sample size formulas for testing HTEs via linear mixed effects (LME) models have been separately derived for different cluster-randomized designs, including single and multi-period parallel designs, crossover designs, and stepped-wedge designs, and for continuous and binary outcomes. This tutorial provides a consolidated reference guide for these methods and enhances their accessibility through an online R Shiny calculator. We further discuss key considerations for conducting sample size and power calculations to test pre-specified HTE hypotheses in CRTs, highlighting the importance of specifying advanced estimates of intracluster correlation coefficients for both outcomes and covariates, and their implications for power. The sample size methodology and calculator functionality are demonstrated through a real CRT example.
title A tutorial on conducting sample size and power calculations for detecting treatment effect heterogeneity in cluster randomized trials with linear mixed models
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.18383