Lessons from complexity theory for AI governance

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Kolt, Noam, Shur-Ofry, Michal, Cohen, Reuven
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Kolt, Noam
Shur-Ofry, Michal
Cohen, Reuven
author_facet Kolt, Noam
Shur-Ofry, Michal
Cohen, Reuven
contents The study of complex adaptive systems, pioneered in physics, biology, and the social sciences, offers important lessons for AI governance. Contemporary AI systems and the environments in which they operate exhibit many of the properties characteristic of complex systems, including nonlinear growth patterns, emergent phenomena, and cascading effects that can lead to tail risks. Complexity theory can help illuminate the features of AI that pose central challenges for policymakers, such as feedback loops induced by training AI models on synthetic data and the interconnectedness between AI systems and critical infrastructure. Drawing on insights from other domains shaped by complex systems, including public health and climate change, we examine how efforts to govern AI are marked by deep uncertainty. To contend with this challenge, we propose a set of complexity-compatible principles concerning the timing and structure of AI governance, and the risk thresholds that should trigger regulatory intervention.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_00012
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Lessons from complexity theory for AI governance
Kolt, Noam
Shur-Ofry, Michal
Cohen, Reuven
Computers and Society
The study of complex adaptive systems, pioneered in physics, biology, and the social sciences, offers important lessons for AI governance. Contemporary AI systems and the environments in which they operate exhibit many of the properties characteristic of complex systems, including nonlinear growth patterns, emergent phenomena, and cascading effects that can lead to tail risks. Complexity theory can help illuminate the features of AI that pose central challenges for policymakers, such as feedback loops induced by training AI models on synthetic data and the interconnectedness between AI systems and critical infrastructure. Drawing on insights from other domains shaped by complex systems, including public health and climate change, we examine how efforts to govern AI are marked by deep uncertainty. To contend with this challenge, we propose a set of complexity-compatible principles concerning the timing and structure of AI governance, and the risk thresholds that should trigger regulatory intervention.
title Lessons from complexity theory for AI governance
topic Computers and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.00012