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Main Authors: Yang, Yuanyuan, Zhang, Ruimin, Morgenstern, Jamie, Xu, Haifeng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.00228
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author Yang, Yuanyuan
Zhang, Ruimin
Morgenstern, Jamie
Xu, Haifeng
author_facet Yang, Yuanyuan
Zhang, Ruimin
Morgenstern, Jamie
Xu, Haifeng
contents In this paper, we study the Markovian Pandora's Box Problem, where decisions are governed by both order constraints and Markovianly correlated rewards, structured within a shared directed acyclic graph. To the best of our knowledge, previous work has not incorporated Markovian dependencies in this setting. This framework is particularly relevant to applications such as data or computation driven algorithm design, where exploration of future models incurs cost. We present optimal fully adaptive strategies where the associated graph forms a forest. Under static transition, we introduce a strategy that achieves a near optimal expected payoff in multi line graphs and a 1/2 approximation in forest-structured graphs. Notably, this algorithm provides a significant speedup over the exact solution, with the improvement becoming more pronounced as the graph size increases. Our findings deepen the understanding of sequential exploration under Markovian correlations in graph-based decision-making.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_00228
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Markovian Pandora's box
Yang, Yuanyuan
Zhang, Ruimin
Morgenstern, Jamie
Xu, Haifeng
Computer Science and Game Theory
In this paper, we study the Markovian Pandora's Box Problem, where decisions are governed by both order constraints and Markovianly correlated rewards, structured within a shared directed acyclic graph. To the best of our knowledge, previous work has not incorporated Markovian dependencies in this setting. This framework is particularly relevant to applications such as data or computation driven algorithm design, where exploration of future models incurs cost. We present optimal fully adaptive strategies where the associated graph forms a forest. Under static transition, we introduce a strategy that achieves a near optimal expected payoff in multi line graphs and a 1/2 approximation in forest-structured graphs. Notably, this algorithm provides a significant speedup over the exact solution, with the improvement becoming more pronounced as the graph size increases. Our findings deepen the understanding of sequential exploration under Markovian correlations in graph-based decision-making.
title Markovian Pandora's box
topic Computer Science and Game Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.00228