A Two-Stage Trip Inference Model of Purposes and Socio-Economic Attributes of Regular Public Transit Users

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Chen, Yitong, Dong, Wentao, Yu, Chengcheng, Yuan, Quan, Yang, Chao
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Chen, Yitong
Dong, Wentao
Yu, Chengcheng
Yuan, Quan
Yang, Chao
author_facet Chen, Yitong
Dong, Wentao
Yu, Chengcheng
Yuan, Quan
Yang, Chao
contents Data-driven research is becoming a new paradigm in transportation, but the natural lack of individual socio-economic attributes in transportation data makes research such as activity purpose inference and mobility pattern identification lack convincingness and verifiability. In this paper, a two-stage trip purpose and socio-economic attributes inference model is proposed based on travel resident survey and smart card data. In the first stage, the trip purpose of each trip is inferred by a combination of rule-based and XGBoost models. In the second stage, based on the trip purpose, a machine-learning model is built to inference the socio-economic attributes of individuals. A teacher-student model based on self-training is then applied on the models above to transfer them to smart card data. The impact of independent variables of socio-economic attributes inference model is also investigated. The results show that models for inferring trip purposes and socio-economic attributes have overall accuracies of 92.7% and 76.3%, respectively. Travel time, arrival time, departure time and purpose of the first two trips are most important factors on age and job status, while the land price of jobs-housing are significant to the inference of individual incomes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_00644
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Two-Stage Trip Inference Model of Purposes and Socio-Economic Attributes of Regular Public Transit Users
Chen, Yitong
Dong, Wentao
Yu, Chengcheng
Yuan, Quan
Yang, Chao
Applications
Data-driven research is becoming a new paradigm in transportation, but the natural lack of individual socio-economic attributes in transportation data makes research such as activity purpose inference and mobility pattern identification lack convincingness and verifiability. In this paper, a two-stage trip purpose and socio-economic attributes inference model is proposed based on travel resident survey and smart card data. In the first stage, the trip purpose of each trip is inferred by a combination of rule-based and XGBoost models. In the second stage, based on the trip purpose, a machine-learning model is built to inference the socio-economic attributes of individuals. A teacher-student model based on self-training is then applied on the models above to transfer them to smart card data. The impact of independent variables of socio-economic attributes inference model is also investigated. The results show that models for inferring trip purposes and socio-economic attributes have overall accuracies of 92.7% and 76.3%, respectively. Travel time, arrival time, departure time and purpose of the first two trips are most important factors on age and job status, while the land price of jobs-housing are significant to the inference of individual incomes.
title A Two-Stage Trip Inference Model of Purposes and Socio-Economic Attributes of Regular Public Transit Users
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.00644