The Weitzman Premium on the Social Cost of Carbon

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Dong, Jinchi, Tol, Richard S. J., Wang, Fangzhi
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Dong, Jinchi
Tol, Richard S. J.
Wang, Fangzhi
author_facet Dong, Jinchi
Tol, Richard S. J.
Wang, Fangzhi
contents Preference heterogeneity massively increases the social cost of carbon. We call this the Weitzman premium. Uncertainty about an exponential discount rate implies a hyperbolic discount rate, which in the near term is equal to the average discount rate but in the long term falls to the minimum discount rate. We calibrate the pure rate of time preference and the inverse of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution of 79,273 individuals from 76 countries and compute the corresponding social cost of carbon. Compared to the social cost of carbon for average time preferences, the average social cost of carbon is 6 times as large in the base calibration, and up to 200 times as large in sensitivity analyses.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_01394
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Weitzman Premium on the Social Cost of Carbon
Dong, Jinchi
Tol, Richard S. J.
Wang, Fangzhi
General Economics
Economics
Preference heterogeneity massively increases the social cost of carbon. We call this the Weitzman premium. Uncertainty about an exponential discount rate implies a hyperbolic discount rate, which in the near term is equal to the average discount rate but in the long term falls to the minimum discount rate. We calibrate the pure rate of time preference and the inverse of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution of 79,273 individuals from 76 countries and compute the corresponding social cost of carbon. Compared to the social cost of carbon for average time preferences, the average social cost of carbon is 6 times as large in the base calibration, and up to 200 times as large in sensitivity analyses.
title The Weitzman Premium on the Social Cost of Carbon
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.01394