Robust Cislunar Low-Thrust Trajectory Optimization under Uncertainties via Sequential Covariance Steering

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Main Authors: Kumagai, Naoya, Oguri, Kenshiro
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Kumagai, Naoya
Oguri, Kenshiro
author_facet Kumagai, Naoya
Oguri, Kenshiro
contents Spacecraft operations are influenced by uncertainties such as dynamics modeling, navigation, and maneuver execution errors. Although mission design has traditionally incorporated heuristic safety margins to mitigate the effect of uncertainties, particularly before/after crucial events, it is yet unclear whether this practice will scale in the cislunar region, which features locally chaotic nonlinear dynamics and involves frequent lunar flybys. This paper applies chance-constrained covariance steering and sequential convex programming to simultaneously design an optimal trajectory and trajectory correction policy that can probabilistically guarantee safety constraints under the assumed physical/navigational error models. The results show that the proposed method can effectively control the state uncertainty in a highly nonlinear environment. The framework allows faster computation and lossless convexification of linear covariance propagation compared to existing methods, enabling a rapid and accurate comparison of $ΔV_{99}$ costs for different uncertainty parameters. We demonstrate the algorithm on several transfers in the Earth-Moon Circular Restricted Three Body Problem.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_01907
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Robust Cislunar Low-Thrust Trajectory Optimization under Uncertainties via Sequential Covariance Steering
Kumagai, Naoya
Oguri, Kenshiro
Optimization and Control
Spacecraft operations are influenced by uncertainties such as dynamics modeling, navigation, and maneuver execution errors. Although mission design has traditionally incorporated heuristic safety margins to mitigate the effect of uncertainties, particularly before/after crucial events, it is yet unclear whether this practice will scale in the cislunar region, which features locally chaotic nonlinear dynamics and involves frequent lunar flybys. This paper applies chance-constrained covariance steering and sequential convex programming to simultaneously design an optimal trajectory and trajectory correction policy that can probabilistically guarantee safety constraints under the assumed physical/navigational error models. The results show that the proposed method can effectively control the state uncertainty in a highly nonlinear environment. The framework allows faster computation and lossless convexification of linear covariance propagation compared to existing methods, enabling a rapid and accurate comparison of $ΔV_{99}$ costs for different uncertainty parameters. We demonstrate the algorithm on several transfers in the Earth-Moon Circular Restricted Three Body Problem.
title Robust Cislunar Low-Thrust Trajectory Optimization under Uncertainties via Sequential Covariance Steering
topic Optimization and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.01907