Change Point Detection in the Frequency Domain with Statistical Reliability

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Yamada, Akifumi, Shiraishi, Tomohiro, Nishino, Shuichi, Katsuoka, Teruyuki, Taji, Kouichi, Takeuchi, Ichiro
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Yamada, Akifumi
Shiraishi, Tomohiro
Nishino, Shuichi
Katsuoka, Teruyuki
Taji, Kouichi
Takeuchi, Ichiro
author_facet Yamada, Akifumi
Shiraishi, Tomohiro
Nishino, Shuichi
Katsuoka, Teruyuki
Taji, Kouichi
Takeuchi, Ichiro
contents Effective condition monitoring in complex systems requires identifying change points (CPs) in the frequency domain, as the structural changes often arise across multiple frequencies. This paper extends recent advancements in statistically significant CP detection, based on Selective Inference (SI), to the frequency domain. The proposed SI method quantifies the statistical significance of detected CPs in the frequency domain using $p$-values, ensuring that the detected changes reflect genuine structural shifts in the target system. We address two major technical challenges to achieve this. First, we extend the existing SI framework to the frequency domain by appropriately utilizing the properties of discrete Fourier transform (DFT). Second, we develop an SI method that provides valid $p$-values for CPs where changes occur across multiple frequencies. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method reliably identifies genuine CPs with strong statistical guarantees, enabling more accurate root-cause analysis in the frequency domain of complex systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_03062
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Change Point Detection in the Frequency Domain with Statistical Reliability
Yamada, Akifumi
Shiraishi, Tomohiro
Nishino, Shuichi
Katsuoka, Teruyuki
Taji, Kouichi
Takeuchi, Ichiro
Machine Learning
Effective condition monitoring in complex systems requires identifying change points (CPs) in the frequency domain, as the structural changes often arise across multiple frequencies. This paper extends recent advancements in statistically significant CP detection, based on Selective Inference (SI), to the frequency domain. The proposed SI method quantifies the statistical significance of detected CPs in the frequency domain using $p$-values, ensuring that the detected changes reflect genuine structural shifts in the target system. We address two major technical challenges to achieve this. First, we extend the existing SI framework to the frequency domain by appropriately utilizing the properties of discrete Fourier transform (DFT). Second, we develop an SI method that provides valid $p$-values for CPs where changes occur across multiple frequencies. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method reliably identifies genuine CPs with strong statistical guarantees, enabling more accurate root-cause analysis in the frequency domain of complex systems.
title Change Point Detection in the Frequency Domain with Statistical Reliability
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.03062