Levelised Cost of Demand Response: Estimating the Cost-Competitiveness of Flexible Demand

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Hauptverfasser: Thrän, Jacob, Green, Tim C., Shorten, Robert
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Thrän, Jacob
Green, Tim C.
Shorten, Robert
author_facet Thrän, Jacob
Green, Tim C.
Shorten, Robert
contents To make well-informed investment decisions, energy system stakeholders require reliable cost frameworks for demand response (DR) and storage technologies. While the levelised cost of storage (LCOS) permits comprehensive cost comparisons between different storage technologies, no generic cost measure for the comparison of different DR schemes exists. This paper introduces the levelised cost of demand response (LCODR) which is an analogous measure to the LCOS but crucially differs from it by considering consumer reward payments. Additionally, the value factor from cost estimations of variable renewable energy is adapted to account for the variable availability of DR. The LCODRs for four direct load control (DLC) schemes and twelve storage applications are estimated and contrasted against LCOS literature values for the most competitive storage technologies. The DLC schemes are vehicle-to-grid, smart charging, smart heat pumps, and heat pumps with thermal storage. The results show that only heat pumps with thermal storage consistently outcompete storage technologies with EV-based DR schemes being competitive for some applications. The results and the underlying methodology offer a tool for energy system stakeholders to assess the competitiveness of DR schemes even with limited user data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_03124
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Levelised Cost of Demand Response: Estimating the Cost-Competitiveness of Flexible Demand
Thrän, Jacob
Green, Tim C.
Shorten, Robert
Systems and Control
To make well-informed investment decisions, energy system stakeholders require reliable cost frameworks for demand response (DR) and storage technologies. While the levelised cost of storage (LCOS) permits comprehensive cost comparisons between different storage technologies, no generic cost measure for the comparison of different DR schemes exists. This paper introduces the levelised cost of demand response (LCODR) which is an analogous measure to the LCOS but crucially differs from it by considering consumer reward payments. Additionally, the value factor from cost estimations of variable renewable energy is adapted to account for the variable availability of DR. The LCODRs for four direct load control (DLC) schemes and twelve storage applications are estimated and contrasted against LCOS literature values for the most competitive storage technologies. The DLC schemes are vehicle-to-grid, smart charging, smart heat pumps, and heat pumps with thermal storage. The results show that only heat pumps with thermal storage consistently outcompete storage technologies with EV-based DR schemes being competitive for some applications. The results and the underlying methodology offer a tool for energy system stakeholders to assess the competitiveness of DR schemes even with limited user data.
title Levelised Cost of Demand Response: Estimating the Cost-Competitiveness of Flexible Demand
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.03124