Does Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Improve the Robustness of Amortized Bayesian Inference? A Systematic Evaluation

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Elsemüller, Lasse, Pratz, Valentin, von Krause, Mischa, Voss, Andreas, Bürkner, Paul-Christian, Radev, Stefan T.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Elsemüller, Lasse
Pratz, Valentin
von Krause, Mischa
Voss, Andreas
Bürkner, Paul-Christian
Radev, Stefan T.
author_facet Elsemüller, Lasse
Pratz, Valentin
von Krause, Mischa
Voss, Andreas
Bürkner, Paul-Christian
Radev, Stefan T.
contents Neural networks are fragile when confronted with data that significantly deviates from their training distribution. This is true in particular for simulation-based inference methods, such as neural amortized Bayesian inference (ABI), where models trained on simulated data are deployed on noisy real-world observations. Recent robust approaches employ unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) to match the embedding spaces of simulated and observed data. However, the lack of comprehensive evaluations across different domain mismatches raises concerns about the reliability in high-stakes applications. We address this gap by systematically testing UDA approaches across a wide range of misspecification scenarios in silico and practice. We demonstrate that aligning summary spaces between domains effectively mitigates the impact of unmodeled phenomena or noise. However, the same alignment mechanism can lead to failures under prior misspecifications - a critical finding with practical consequences. Our results underscore the need for careful consideration of misspecification types when using UDA to increase the robustness of ABI.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_04949
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Does Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Improve the Robustness of Amortized Bayesian Inference? A Systematic Evaluation
Elsemüller, Lasse
Pratz, Valentin
von Krause, Mischa
Voss, Andreas
Bürkner, Paul-Christian
Radev, Stefan T.
Machine Learning
Methodology
Neural networks are fragile when confronted with data that significantly deviates from their training distribution. This is true in particular for simulation-based inference methods, such as neural amortized Bayesian inference (ABI), where models trained on simulated data are deployed on noisy real-world observations. Recent robust approaches employ unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) to match the embedding spaces of simulated and observed data. However, the lack of comprehensive evaluations across different domain mismatches raises concerns about the reliability in high-stakes applications. We address this gap by systematically testing UDA approaches across a wide range of misspecification scenarios in silico and practice. We demonstrate that aligning summary spaces between domains effectively mitigates the impact of unmodeled phenomena or noise. However, the same alignment mechanism can lead to failures under prior misspecifications - a critical finding with practical consequences. Our results underscore the need for careful consideration of misspecification types when using UDA to increase the robustness of ABI.
title Does Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Improve the Robustness of Amortized Bayesian Inference? A Systematic Evaluation
topic Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.04949