Causality can systematically address the monsters under the bench(marks)

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Leeb, Felix, Jin, Zhijing, Schölkopf, Bernhard
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Leeb, Felix
Jin, Zhijing
Schölkopf, Bernhard
author_facet Leeb, Felix
Jin, Zhijing
Schölkopf, Bernhard
contents Effective and reliable evaluation is essential for advancing empirical machine learning. However, the increasing accessibility of generalist models and the progress towards ever more complex, high-level tasks make systematic evaluation more challenging. Benchmarks are plagued by various biases, artifacts, or leakage, while models may behave unreliably due to poorly explored failure modes. Haphazard treatments and inconsistent formulations of such "monsters" can contribute to a duplication of efforts, a lack of trust in results, and unsupported inferences. In this position paper, we argue causality offers an ideal framework to systematically address these challenges. By making causal assumptions in an approach explicit, we can faithfully model phenomena, formulate testable hypotheses with explanatory power, and leverage principled tools for analysis. To make causal model design more accessible, we identify several useful Common Abstract Topologies (CATs) in causal graphs which help gain insight into the reasoning abilities in large language models. Through a series of case studies, we demonstrate how the precise yet pragmatic language of causality clarifies the strengths and limitations of a method and inspires new approaches for systematic progress.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_05085
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Causality can systematically address the monsters under the bench(marks)
Leeb, Felix
Jin, Zhijing
Schölkopf, Bernhard
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Effective and reliable evaluation is essential for advancing empirical machine learning. However, the increasing accessibility of generalist models and the progress towards ever more complex, high-level tasks make systematic evaluation more challenging. Benchmarks are plagued by various biases, artifacts, or leakage, while models may behave unreliably due to poorly explored failure modes. Haphazard treatments and inconsistent formulations of such "monsters" can contribute to a duplication of efforts, a lack of trust in results, and unsupported inferences. In this position paper, we argue causality offers an ideal framework to systematically address these challenges. By making causal assumptions in an approach explicit, we can faithfully model phenomena, formulate testable hypotheses with explanatory power, and leverage principled tools for analysis. To make causal model design more accessible, we identify several useful Common Abstract Topologies (CATs) in causal graphs which help gain insight into the reasoning abilities in large language models. Through a series of case studies, we demonstrate how the precise yet pragmatic language of causality clarifies the strengths and limitations of a method and inspires new approaches for systematic progress.
title Causality can systematically address the monsters under the bench(marks)
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.05085