Multimodal Stock Price Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Karadaş, Furkan, Eravcı, Bahaeddin, Özbayoğlu, Ahmet Murat
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Karadaş, Furkan
Eravcı, Bahaeddin
Özbayoğlu, Ahmet Murat
author_facet Karadaş, Furkan
Eravcı, Bahaeddin
Özbayoğlu, Ahmet Murat
contents In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This paper explores a multimodal machine learning approach for stock price prediction by combining data from diverse sources, including traditional financial metrics, tweets, and news articles. We capture real-time market dynamics and investor mood through sentiment analysis on these textual data using both ChatGPT-4o and FinBERT models. We look at how these integrated data streams augment predictions made with a standard Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM model) to illustrate the extent of performance gains. Our study's results indicate that incorporating the mentioned data sources considerably increases the forecast effectiveness of the reference model by up to 5%. We also provide insights into the individual and combined predictive capacities of these modalities, highlighting the substantial impact of incorporating sentiment analysis from tweets and news articles. This research offers a systematic and effective framework for applying multimodal data analytics techniques in financial time series forecasting that provides a new view for investors to leverage data for decision-making.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_05186
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multimodal Stock Price Prediction
Karadaş, Furkan
Eravcı, Bahaeddin
Özbayoğlu, Ahmet Murat
Statistical Finance
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This paper explores a multimodal machine learning approach for stock price prediction by combining data from diverse sources, including traditional financial metrics, tweets, and news articles. We capture real-time market dynamics and investor mood through sentiment analysis on these textual data using both ChatGPT-4o and FinBERT models. We look at how these integrated data streams augment predictions made with a standard Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM model) to illustrate the extent of performance gains. Our study's results indicate that incorporating the mentioned data sources considerably increases the forecast effectiveness of the reference model by up to 5%. We also provide insights into the individual and combined predictive capacities of these modalities, highlighting the substantial impact of incorporating sentiment analysis from tweets and news articles. This research offers a systematic and effective framework for applying multimodal data analytics techniques in financial time series forecasting that provides a new view for investors to leverage data for decision-making.
title Multimodal Stock Price Prediction
topic Statistical Finance
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.05186