Known Unknowns: Out-of-Distribution Property Prediction in Materials and Molecules

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Segal, Nofit, Netanyahu, Aviv, Greenman, Kevin P., Agrawal, Pulkit, Gomez-Bombarelli, Rafael
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Segal, Nofit
Netanyahu, Aviv
Greenman, Kevin P.
Agrawal, Pulkit
Gomez-Bombarelli, Rafael
author_facet Segal, Nofit
Netanyahu, Aviv
Greenman, Kevin P.
Agrawal, Pulkit
Gomez-Bombarelli, Rafael
contents Discovery of high-performance materials and molecules requires identifying extremes with property values that fall outside the known distribution. Therefore, the ability to extrapolate to out-of-distribution (OOD) property values is critical for both solid-state materials and molecular design. Our objective is to train predictor models that extrapolate zero-shot to higher ranges than in the training data, given the chemical compositions of solids or molecular graphs and their property values. We propose using a transductive approach to OOD property prediction, achieving improvements in prediction accuracy. In particular, the True Positive Rate (TPR) of OOD classification of materials and molecules improved by 3x and 2.5x, respectively, and precision improved by 2x and 1.5x compared to non-transductive baselines. Our method leverages analogical input-target relations in the training and test sets, enabling generalization beyond the training target support, and can be applied to any other material and molecular tasks.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_05970
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Known Unknowns: Out-of-Distribution Property Prediction in Materials and Molecules
Segal, Nofit
Netanyahu, Aviv
Greenman, Kevin P.
Agrawal, Pulkit
Gomez-Bombarelli, Rafael
Machine Learning
Materials Science
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
Chemical Physics
Discovery of high-performance materials and molecules requires identifying extremes with property values that fall outside the known distribution. Therefore, the ability to extrapolate to out-of-distribution (OOD) property values is critical for both solid-state materials and molecular design. Our objective is to train predictor models that extrapolate zero-shot to higher ranges than in the training data, given the chemical compositions of solids or molecular graphs and their property values. We propose using a transductive approach to OOD property prediction, achieving improvements in prediction accuracy. In particular, the True Positive Rate (TPR) of OOD classification of materials and molecules improved by 3x and 2.5x, respectively, and precision improved by 2x and 1.5x compared to non-transductive baselines. Our method leverages analogical input-target relations in the training and test sets, enabling generalization beyond the training target support, and can be applied to any other material and molecular tasks.
title Known Unknowns: Out-of-Distribution Property Prediction in Materials and Molecules
topic Machine Learning
Materials Science
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
Chemical Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.05970