Sample Weight Averaging for Stable Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Yu, Han, He, Yue, Xu, Renzhe, Li, Dongbai, Zhang, Jiayin, Zou, Wenchao, Cui, Peng
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Yu, Han
He, Yue
Xu, Renzhe
Li, Dongbai
Zhang, Jiayin
Zou, Wenchao
Cui, Peng
author_facet Yu, Han
He, Yue
Xu, Renzhe
Li, Dongbai
Zhang, Jiayin
Zou, Wenchao
Cui, Peng
contents The challenge of Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization poses a foundational concern for the application of machine learning algorithms to risk-sensitive areas. Inspired by traditional importance weighting and propensity weighting methods, prior approaches employ an independence-based sample reweighting procedure. They aim at decorrelating covariates to counteract the bias introduced by spurious correlations between unstable variables and the outcome, thus enhancing generalization and fulfilling stable prediction under covariate shift. Nonetheless, these methods are prone to experiencing an inflation of variance, primarily attributable to the reduced efficacy in utilizing training samples during the reweighting process. Existing remedies necessitate either environmental labels or substantially higher time costs along with additional assumptions and supervised information. To mitigate this issue, we propose SAmple Weight Averaging (SAWA), a simple yet efficacious strategy that can be universally integrated into various sample reweighting algorithms to decrease the variance and coefficient estimation error, thus boosting the covariate-shift generalization and achieving stable prediction across different environments. We prove its rationality and benefits theoretically. Experiments across synthetic datasets and real-world datasets consistently underscore its superiority against covariate shift.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_07414
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sample Weight Averaging for Stable Prediction
Yu, Han
He, Yue
Xu, Renzhe
Li, Dongbai
Zhang, Jiayin
Zou, Wenchao
Cui, Peng
Machine Learning
The challenge of Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization poses a foundational concern for the application of machine learning algorithms to risk-sensitive areas. Inspired by traditional importance weighting and propensity weighting methods, prior approaches employ an independence-based sample reweighting procedure. They aim at decorrelating covariates to counteract the bias introduced by spurious correlations between unstable variables and the outcome, thus enhancing generalization and fulfilling stable prediction under covariate shift. Nonetheless, these methods are prone to experiencing an inflation of variance, primarily attributable to the reduced efficacy in utilizing training samples during the reweighting process. Existing remedies necessitate either environmental labels or substantially higher time costs along with additional assumptions and supervised information. To mitigate this issue, we propose SAmple Weight Averaging (SAWA), a simple yet efficacious strategy that can be universally integrated into various sample reweighting algorithms to decrease the variance and coefficient estimation error, thus boosting the covariate-shift generalization and achieving stable prediction across different environments. We prove its rationality and benefits theoretically. Experiments across synthetic datasets and real-world datasets consistently underscore its superiority against covariate shift.
title Sample Weight Averaging for Stable Prediction
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.07414