Statistical inference for Levy-driven graph supOU processes: From short- to long-memory in high-dimensional time series

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Mehta, Shreya, Veraart, Almut E. D.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Mehta, Shreya
Veraart, Almut E. D.
author_facet Mehta, Shreya
Veraart, Almut E. D.
contents This article introduces Levy-driven graph supOU processes, a parsimonious parametrisation for high-dimensional time series in which dependence between components is governed by a graph structure. Specifically, the model bridges short- and long-range dependence within a single parametric family while accommodating a wide range of marginal distributions. We further develop a generalised method of moments estimator, establish its consistency and asymptotic normality, and assess its finite-sample performance through a simulation study. Finally, we illustrate the practical relevance of our model and estimation method in an empirical study of wind capacity factors in a European electricity network context.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_08838
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Statistical inference for Levy-driven graph supOU processes: From short- to long-memory in high-dimensional time series
Mehta, Shreya
Veraart, Almut E. D.
Methodology
Statistics Theory
Applications
62M10, 62F99, 60G10, 62P99, 60F05, 60G57, 60E07
This article introduces Levy-driven graph supOU processes, a parsimonious parametrisation for high-dimensional time series in which dependence between components is governed by a graph structure. Specifically, the model bridges short- and long-range dependence within a single parametric family while accommodating a wide range of marginal distributions. We further develop a generalised method of moments estimator, establish its consistency and asymptotic normality, and assess its finite-sample performance through a simulation study. Finally, we illustrate the practical relevance of our model and estimation method in an empirical study of wind capacity factors in a European electricity network context.
title Statistical inference for Levy-driven graph supOU processes: From short- to long-memory in high-dimensional time series
topic Methodology
Statistics Theory
Applications
62M10, 62F99, 60G10, 62P99, 60F05, 60G57, 60E07
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.08838