AttenGluco: Multimodal Transformer-Based Blood Glucose Forecasting on AI-READI Dataset

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Farahmand, Ebrahim, Azghan, Reza Rahimi, Chatrudi, Nooshin Taheri, Kim, Eric, Gudur, Gautham Krishna, Thomaz, Edison, Pedrielli, Giulia, Turaga, Pavan, Ghasemzadeh, Hassan
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Farahmand, Ebrahim
Azghan, Reza Rahimi
Chatrudi, Nooshin Taheri
Kim, Eric
Gudur, Gautham Krishna
Thomaz, Edison
Pedrielli, Giulia
Turaga, Pavan
Ghasemzadeh, Hassan
author_facet Farahmand, Ebrahim
Azghan, Reza Rahimi
Chatrudi, Nooshin Taheri
Kim, Eric
Gudur, Gautham Krishna
Thomaz, Edison
Pedrielli, Giulia
Turaga, Pavan
Ghasemzadeh, Hassan
contents Diabetes is a chronic metabolic disorder characterized by persistently high blood glucose levels (BGLs), leading to severe complications such as cardiovascular disease, neuropathy, and retinopathy. Predicting BGLs enables patients to maintain glucose levels within a safe range and allows caregivers to take proactive measures through lifestyle modifications. Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) systems provide real-time tracking, offering a valuable tool for monitoring BGLs. However, accurately forecasting BGLs remains challenging due to fluctuations due to physical activity, diet, and other factors. Recent deep learning models show promise in improving BGL prediction. Nonetheless, forecasting BGLs accurately from multimodal, irregularly sampled data over long prediction horizons remains a challenging research problem. In this paper, we propose AttenGluco, a multimodal Transformer-based framework for long-term blood glucose prediction. AttenGluco employs cross-attention to effectively integrate CGM and activity data, addressing challenges in fusing data with different sampling rates. Moreover, it employs multi-scale attention to capture long-term dependencies in temporal data, enhancing forecasting accuracy. To evaluate the performance of AttenGluco, we conduct forecasting experiments on the recently released AIREADI dataset, analyzing its predictive accuracy across different subject cohorts including healthy individuals, people with prediabetes, and those with type 2 diabetes. Furthermore, we investigate its performance improvements and forgetting behavior as new cohorts are introduced. Our evaluations show that AttenGluco improves all error metrics, such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and correlation, compared to the multimodal LSTM model. AttenGluco outperforms this baseline model by about 10% and 15% in terms of RMSE and MAE, respectively.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_09919
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle AttenGluco: Multimodal Transformer-Based Blood Glucose Forecasting on AI-READI Dataset
Farahmand, Ebrahim
Azghan, Reza Rahimi
Chatrudi, Nooshin Taheri
Kim, Eric
Gudur, Gautham Krishna
Thomaz, Edison
Pedrielli, Giulia
Turaga, Pavan
Ghasemzadeh, Hassan
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Diabetes is a chronic metabolic disorder characterized by persistently high blood glucose levels (BGLs), leading to severe complications such as cardiovascular disease, neuropathy, and retinopathy. Predicting BGLs enables patients to maintain glucose levels within a safe range and allows caregivers to take proactive measures through lifestyle modifications. Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) systems provide real-time tracking, offering a valuable tool for monitoring BGLs. However, accurately forecasting BGLs remains challenging due to fluctuations due to physical activity, diet, and other factors. Recent deep learning models show promise in improving BGL prediction. Nonetheless, forecasting BGLs accurately from multimodal, irregularly sampled data over long prediction horizons remains a challenging research problem. In this paper, we propose AttenGluco, a multimodal Transformer-based framework for long-term blood glucose prediction. AttenGluco employs cross-attention to effectively integrate CGM and activity data, addressing challenges in fusing data with different sampling rates. Moreover, it employs multi-scale attention to capture long-term dependencies in temporal data, enhancing forecasting accuracy. To evaluate the performance of AttenGluco, we conduct forecasting experiments on the recently released AIREADI dataset, analyzing its predictive accuracy across different subject cohorts including healthy individuals, people with prediabetes, and those with type 2 diabetes. Furthermore, we investigate its performance improvements and forgetting behavior as new cohorts are introduced. Our evaluations show that AttenGluco improves all error metrics, such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and correlation, compared to the multimodal LSTM model. AttenGluco outperforms this baseline model by about 10% and 15% in terms of RMSE and MAE, respectively.
title AttenGluco: Multimodal Transformer-Based Blood Glucose Forecasting on AI-READI Dataset
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.09919