Opportunities and challenges of quantum computing for climate modelling

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Schwabe, Mierk, Pastori, Lorenzo, de Vega, Inés, Gentine, Pierre, Iapichino, Luigi, Lahtinen, Valtteri, Leib, Martin, Lorenz, Jeanette M., Eyring, Veronika
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Schwabe, Mierk
Pastori, Lorenzo
de Vega, Inés
Gentine, Pierre
Iapichino, Luigi
Lahtinen, Valtteri
Leib, Martin
Lorenz, Jeanette M.
Eyring, Veronika
author_facet Schwabe, Mierk
Pastori, Lorenzo
de Vega, Inés
Gentine, Pierre
Iapichino, Luigi
Lahtinen, Valtteri
Leib, Martin
Lorenz, Jeanette M.
Eyring, Veronika
contents Adaptation to climate change requires robust climate projections, yet the uncertainty in these projections performed by ensembles of Earth system models (ESMs) remains large. This is mainly due to uncertainties in the representation of subgrid-scale processes such as turbulence or convection that are partly alleviated at higher resolution. New developments in machine learning-based hybrid ESMs demonstrate great potential for systematically reduced errors compared to traditional ESMs. Building on the work of hybrid (physics + AI) ESMs, we here discuss the additional potential of further improving and accelerating climate models with quantum computing. We discuss how quantum computers could accelerate climate models by solving the underlying differential equations faster, how quantum machine learning could better represent subgrid-scale phenomena in ESMs even with currently available noisy intermediate-scale quantum devices, how quantum algorithms aimed at solving optimization problems could assist in tuning the many parameters in ESMs, a currently time-consuming and challenging process, and how quantum computers could aid in the analysis of climate models. We also discuss hurdles and obstacles facing current quantum computing paradigms. Strong interdisciplinary collaboration between climate scientists and quantum computing experts could help overcome these hurdles and harness the potential of quantum computing for this urgent topic.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_10488
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Opportunities and challenges of quantum computing for climate modelling
Schwabe, Mierk
Pastori, Lorenzo
de Vega, Inés
Gentine, Pierre
Iapichino, Luigi
Lahtinen, Valtteri
Leib, Martin
Lorenz, Jeanette M.
Eyring, Veronika
Quantum Physics
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Adaptation to climate change requires robust climate projections, yet the uncertainty in these projections performed by ensembles of Earth system models (ESMs) remains large. This is mainly due to uncertainties in the representation of subgrid-scale processes such as turbulence or convection that are partly alleviated at higher resolution. New developments in machine learning-based hybrid ESMs demonstrate great potential for systematically reduced errors compared to traditional ESMs. Building on the work of hybrid (physics + AI) ESMs, we here discuss the additional potential of further improving and accelerating climate models with quantum computing. We discuss how quantum computers could accelerate climate models by solving the underlying differential equations faster, how quantum machine learning could better represent subgrid-scale phenomena in ESMs even with currently available noisy intermediate-scale quantum devices, how quantum algorithms aimed at solving optimization problems could assist in tuning the many parameters in ESMs, a currently time-consuming and challenging process, and how quantum computers could aid in the analysis of climate models. We also discuss hurdles and obstacles facing current quantum computing paradigms. Strong interdisciplinary collaboration between climate scientists and quantum computing experts could help overcome these hurdles and harness the potential of quantum computing for this urgent topic.
title Opportunities and challenges of quantum computing for climate modelling
topic Quantum Physics
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.10488